NEW SUMMERFIELD SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 526 students:
≈ 19 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,612 per student in district revenue, the 19 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $334,628/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JACKSONVILLE H S JACKSONVILLE |
Public | 9.3 | 1,270 | +0.4% |
| COMPASS CENTER JACKSONVILLE |
Public | 10.3 | 13 | — |
| TROUP H S TROUP |
Public | 12.0 | 311 | -1.0% |
| CARLISLE SCHOOL HENDERSON |
Public | 14.0 | 185 | +12.8% |
| RUSK H S RUSK |
Public | 14.1 | 621 | +4.5% |
| LANEVILLE SCHOOL LANEVILLE |
Public | 16.3 | 41 | — |
| BULLARD H S BULLARD |
Public | 16.7 | 909 | +8.6% |
| ARP H S ARP |
Public | 17.3 | 308 | +17.1% |