WELLS SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 239 students:
≈ 29 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,430 per student in district revenue, the 29 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $476,470/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENTRAL H S POLLOK |
Public | 8.5 | 408 | +7.7% |
| DOUGLASS SCHOOL DOUGLASS |
Public | 12.7 | 134 | -10.7% |
| HUDSON H S LUFKIN |
Public | 13.7 | 783 | -3.9% |
| ALTO H S ALTO |
Public | 14.3 | 146 | -10.4% |
| PINEYWOODS COMMUNITY ACADEMY H S LUFKIN |
Public · charter | 16.2 | 289 | +12.0% |
| KENNARD ISD KENNARD |
Public | 16.8 | 72 | +10.8% |
| STUBBLEFIELD LRN CTR LUFKIN |
Public | 17.1 | 5 | — |
| STUBBLEFIELD LRN CTR LUFKIN |
Public | 17.1 | 9 | — |