Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment (9–12)
372 (2018)417 (2026)
+12.1%
Grade 12 (graduating class)
98 (2018)88 (2026)
-10.2%

If this trend holds (+1.4%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~423 +6 $0
3 yr (2029) ~435 +18 $0
5 yr (2031) ~448 +31 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Los Angeles County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Action needed
Strong inside, weak at the gate.

Families who enroll at Vasquez High School stay (90.4% stability — elite). But enrollment is dropping faster than Los Angeles County (school -10.2% vs. county -8.2%). The audit question isn't why students leave — it's why fewer families are choosing to enroll in the first place. Chronic absenteeism is also at 31.8% (up +16.6 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.

-10.2%  school enrollment (2018–2026)
-8.2%  Los Angeles County baseline
-2.0pp  gap vs. county
90.4%  retention (county median 87.3%)
Enrollment — indexed to 100 at 2018
Stability rate by year (raw %)
Stability rate
90.4%
377 of 417 students

40 of 417 students who enrolled at Vasquez High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (9.6% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Los Angeles County median
87.3% · school is in the 65th percentile of 387 HS
Statewide median
87.2% · in the 68th percentile of 1,688 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (285) 92.6%
Hispanic / Latino (240) 90.0%
White (143) 92.3%
Students w/ disabilities (82) 89.0%
English learners (36) 80.6%
Two or more races (21) 81.0%

Nearest peer high schools

High Desert 87.1% R Rex Parris High School 23.5% Desert Winds Continuation High 20.0% Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Social Justice Humanitas Academy 82.1% Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Academy Of Scientific Exploration (ase) 84.4%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.

Chronic absent
31.9%
130 of 407 students

Absenteeism is up 16.7 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.

Los Angeles County median
25.2% · school is worse than 64% of 381 HS
Statewide median
22.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025

Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.

ELA — met or exceeded
n = 79
29.1%
incl. 5.1% exceeded
-28.9 pts vs. Los Angeles County median (58.0%) · CA median 54.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 79.3%
Math — met or exceeded
n = 79
2.5%
incl. 0.0% exceeded
-22.5 pts vs. Los Angeles County median (25.0%) · CA median 21.1% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 53.6%

Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.

Student composition — 2025-26

HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.

Race / ethnicity

Hispanic / Latino 58% +2.7
White 34% -2.8
Two or more 4%
Black / African Am. 3% +1.0
Asian 1%
Filipino 0%

Program subgroups

Students w/ disabilities 82% +11.6
Socioeconomically disadv. 18%

Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.

District financial profile — Acton-Agua Dulce Unified (FY2020)

From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.

Total revenue
$23.4M
-58.6% since FY2017
Per-pupil revenue
$25,479
919 students enrolled
Revenue mix
State: 49.0%
Local: 42.0%
Federal: 9.0%
Instruction share
46.4%
of current spending · $8,961/pupil
Long-term debt
$17.5M
-3.9% since FY2017
Total revenue by year ($M)
Total expenditure by year ($M)

Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Acton-Agua Dulce Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).

University of California outcomes · Class of 2025
UC Reach
9%
8 admits / 89 seniors
-46.1 pp vs. peer median (55.1%) · Ranked #3 of 3 similar schools
5-year trend
2019 · 7.0% 2025 · 9.0%
Where this sits on the California curve
CA median
18.5%
Peer median
55.1%
Top 10%
53.3%
This school
9.0%
0%50%100%
CA median 18.5% Top 10% ≥ 53.3% This school 9.0%

Higher than 15% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)

📊 What this number means

Vasquez High School's UC Reach of 9.0% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.

Against similar schools, Vasquez High School trails the peer-group median (55.1%) — even though it looks strong vs. the state average.

Overall, Vasquez High School's UC Reach is higher than 15% of California high schools (1105 ranked).

UC Application Reach
38.2%
34 applications
In context: CA median 78.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 245.8% · Los Angeles Co. Top 10% ≥ 252.7% · higher than 17% of CA HS.
UC Admit Rate
23.5%
8 / 34 applications
In context: CA median 26.0% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 40.5% · higher than 36% of CA HS.
UC Yield Rate
N/A
None enrolled of 8 admitted
Yield vs. Enrollment Reach: Yield answers "of UC admits, what % chose UC?" — denominator is just the admits. A small admitted cohort can post a low yield even when the school sends a healthy share of its class to UC.
UC Enrollment Reach
N/A
None enrollees / 89 seniors
Enrollment Reach vs. Yield: Reach answers "of the whole senior class, what % ended up at UC?" — denominator is everyone. High Yield with low Enrollment Reach is common at elite privates: most admits matriculate, but the school sends most of its class to non-UC selective colleges.
Student-Counselor Ratio
1264:1
0.33 FTE counselors · 417 students
In context: CA median 338:1 · 926 more students per counselor · ASCA target 250:1.
A-G Completion
66%
57 of 87 graduates · 2024-25 cohort
In context: CA median 55.9% · +9.6 pp above · Los Angeles Co. 68.2%.
Selective UC Reach (UCSD, UCSB, UCI, UCD)
9.0
per 100 seniors · campus-level total
In context: CA median 15.7 · Top 10% statewide ≥ 42.4 · higher than 19% of CA HS.
Elite UC Reach (UCB + UCLA)
N/A
Senior Class Size
89
CDE grade 12 (exact)
Total School Enrollment
394
All grades · CDE Census Day
Economic Connectedness
1.28
68th percentile in CA · cross‑class friendships

Vasquez High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · Acton · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • On UC Reach, Vasquez High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #3 of 3): 9% vs. a peer median of 55%.
  • Its UC Reach has risen 2 points since 2019.
  • Senior-class enrollment is down 10% (98→88 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -19%.
  • Enrollment has been growing (+1.4%/yr); projects to ~435 by 2029.

Enrollment projection

417 students (2026)
~435 projected (2029)
at +1.4%/yr

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Vasquez High School Public 417 9.0% -10%
Peer-group median 55.1% -19%
High Desert Public 327
R Rex Parris High School Public 418 -39%
Desert Winds Continuation High Public 468 -20%
Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Social Justice Humanitas Academy Public 432 -24%
Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Academy Of Scientific Exploration (ase) Public 397 -17%
Puc Lakeview Charter High Public 451 -19%
Desert Sands Charter Public 604 -63%
Academy of the Canyons Public 375 68.0% -2%
Sun Valley Magnet School Public 387 42.2% +18%
Soar High (students On Academic Rise) Public 720 +60%

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

Avg. Applicant GPA · top-6 UCs
4.00
Avg. Admitted GPA · top-6 UCs
4.31

Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus

How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?

Campus Applicant GPA (avg) Actual admit rate CA peer avg Δ Verdict
UC San Diego 4.01 55.6% 19.8% +35.8pp Over
UC Santa Barbara 3.85 60.0% 27.3% +32.7pp Over
"Applicant GPA" is the average GPA of this school's UC applicant pool — not an individual student GPA. "CA peer avg" is the application-weighted statewide admit rate at this school-pool GPA, fit separately per campus. At any given pool GPA, real admit rates span widely (UCSD ranges 8% → 65% across CA schools) because UCs use comprehensive review — context-of-opportunity, geography, demographics, and applicant essays all weigh in beyond GPA. A large negative residual flags this school is admitted at a meaningfully lower rate than other CA schools at the same pool GPA — not that students here were "rejected at expected rate X." "Over" / "Under" use a ±5-point band. Campuses with fewer than 5 applicants are omitted.

UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025

UC Admit Rate %
UC Reach % (where available)
UC Admits (count, right axis)

Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.

Campus Breakdown — 2025

Campus Applicants Admits Enrollees Admit Rate UC Reach Yield Avg GPA (App) Avg GPA (Adm)
UC Berkeley → Elite 5 4.31
UCLA → Elite 9 4.01
UC San Diego → Selective 9 5 55.6% 5.6% 4.01 4.31
UC Santa Barbara → Selective 5 3 60.0% 3.4% 3.85
UC Irvine → Selective 6 3.86
⚠ Campus-level totals may count one student admitted to multiple UC campuses more than once. Admit Volume metrics are not the same as UC Reach, which requires unique-student counts. See methodology →

What This Means

A large share of the class applies to UC, so the admit rate runs lower than the application volume alone might suggest — expected when many students apply broadly, including to reach campuses. UC Reach (which credits every admit relative to the class) is the truer read of how the class fares: a strong Reach alongside a moderate admit rate is healthy, not a contradiction.
Fewer than 15% of seniors are earning UC admission. This may reflect a high non-UC college-going rate, significant A-G completion gaps, or an early-stage UC pipeline. A deeper review of A-G readiness and counseling capacity is warranted.
Note: admit counts used here are campus-level totals. A student admitted to both UCLA and UCSD is counted twice. When UCOP unique-student data becomes available it will be loaded automatically and the labels will update.
Compare with other schools → See Los Angeles County rankings →

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