Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment (9–12)
406 (2018)375 (2026)
-7.6%
Grade 12 (graduating class)
100 (2018)98 (2026)
-2.0%

If this trend holds (-1.0%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~371 -4 $0
3 yr (2029) ~364 -11 $0
5 yr (2031) ~357 -18 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Los Angeles County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Healthy
Outperforming the market — gaining relative share even as Los Angeles County contracts.

Academy of the Canyons is shrinking (-2.0%) but Los Angeles County is shrinking faster (-8.2%), so Academy of the Canyons is winning roughly 6.2 pp of relative market share. Combined with 99.2% stability (county median 87.3%), this reflects a school that families actively chose during a market contraction. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.

-2.0%  school enrollment (2018–2026)
-8.2%  Los Angeles County baseline
+6.2pp  gap vs. county
99.2%  retention (county median 87.3%)
Enrollment — indexed to 100 at 2018
Stability rate by year (raw %)
Stability rate
99.2%
383 of 386 students

3 of 386 students who enrolled at Academy of the Canyons this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (0.8% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Los Angeles County median
87.3% · school is in the 100th percentile of 387 HS
Statewide median
87.2% · in the 100th percentile of 1,688 HS

Stability by student group

Asian (131) 99.2%
White (104) 99.0%
Hispanic / Latino (86) 98.8%
Socio. disadvantaged (72) 98.6%
Filipino (37) 100.0%

Nearest peer high schools

Bowman (jereann) High (continuation) 39.5% Puc Lakeview Charter High 90.8% Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Academy Of Scientific Exploration (ase) 84.4% Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Social Justice Humanitas Academy 82.1% Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Technology Preparatory Academy 80.6%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.

Chronic absent
1.6%
6 of 386 students

Low and stable absenteeism — students are engaged and showing up. The leading indicator is healthy.

Los Angeles County median
25.2% · school is better than 99% of 381 HS
Statewide median
22.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025

Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.

ELA — met or exceeded
n = 98
96.9%
incl. 76.5% exceeded
★ Top 10% CA
+38.9 pts above Los Angeles County median (58.0%) · CA median 54.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 79.3%
Math — met or exceeded
n = 98
77.5%
incl. 40.8% exceeded
★ Top 10% CA
+52.5 pts above Los Angeles County median (25.0%) · CA median 21.1% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 53.6%

Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.

Student composition — 2025-26

HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.

Race / ethnicity

Asian 35% +2.8
White 29% +2.1
Hispanic / Latino 20% -2.1
Filipino 9%
Two or more 4% -1.2
Black / African Am. 2% -1.2

Program subgroups

Students w/ disabilities 20% +11.8

Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.

District financial profile — William S. Hart Union High (FY2020)

From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.

Total revenue
$437.9M
+40.2% since FY2017
Per-pupil revenue
$20,101
21,786 students enrolled
Revenue mix
State: 68.9%
Local: 25.6%
Federal: 5.5%
Instruction share
53.1%
of current spending · $6,775/pupil
Long-term debt
$456.2M
+3.1% since FY2017
Total revenue by year ($M)
Total expenditure by year ($M)

Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the William S. Hart Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).

University of California outcomes · Class of 2025
★ Top 10% UC Reach
UC Reach
68%
66 admits / 97 seniors
+34.1 pp above peer median (33.9%) · Ranked #1 of 3 similar schools
5-year trend
2021 · 70.9% 2025 · 68.0%
Where this sits on the California curve
CA median
18.5%
Peer median
33.9%
Top 10%
53.3%
This school
68.0%
0%50%100%
CA median 18.5% Top 10% ≥ 53.3% This school 68.0%

Higher than 96% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)

📊 What this number means

Academy of the Canyons's UC Reach of 68.0% clears the statewide top-10% cutoff (53.3%) — meaning roughly 68 top-6 UC admits per 100 seniors, well above what most California schools achieve.

Against similar schools, Academy of the Canyons stands out clearly — the peer-group median is 33.9%.

For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 35 pp from where this school sits.

Overall, Academy of the Canyons's UC Reach is higher than 96% of California high schools (1105 ranked).

UC Application Reach
303.1%
294 applications
Strong UC pursuit. The typical senior is applying to about 3 top-6 UC campuses — a signal of a college-driven student body.
In context: CA median 78.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 245.8% · Los Angeles Co. Top 10% ≥ 252.7% · higher than 95% of CA HS.
UC Admit Rate
22.4%
66 / 294 applications
In context: CA median 26.0% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 40.5% · higher than 30% of CA HS.
UC Yield Rate
18.2%
12 enrolled of 66 admitted
Yield vs. Enrollment Reach: Yield answers "of UC admits, what % chose UC?" — denominator is just the admits. A small admitted cohort can post a low yield even when the school sends a healthy share of its class to UC.
UC Enrollment Reach
12.4%
12 enrollees / 97 seniors
Enrollment Reach vs. Yield: Reach answers "of the whole senior class, what % ended up at UC?" — denominator is everyone. High Yield with low Enrollment Reach is common at elite privates: most admits matriculate, but the school sends most of its class to non-UC selective colleges.
Student-Counselor Ratio
375:1
1.0 FTE counselors · 375 students
In context: CA median 338:1 · 37 more students per counselor · ASCA target 250:1.
A-G Completion
96%
92 of 96 graduates · 2024-25 cohort
In context: CA median 55.9% · +39.9 pp above · Los Angeles Co. 68.2%.
UC 6-Yr Grad Rate
100%
97% finished in 4 yrs · N=30 entered 2019
In context: CA median 88.6% · +11.4 pp above.
Selective UC Reach (UCSD, UCSB, UCI, UCD)
48.5
per 100 seniors · campus-level total
In context: CA median 15.7 · Top 10% statewide ≥ 42.4 · higher than 93% of CA HS.
Elite UC Reach (UCB + UCLA)
16.5
per 100 seniors · campus-level total
In context: CA median 3.5 · Top 10% statewide ≥ 11.1 · higher than 96% of CA HS.
Senior Class Size
97
CDE grade 12 (exact)
Total School Enrollment
385
All grades · CDE Census Day

Academy of the Canyons — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · Santa Clarita · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • On UC Reach, Academy of the Canyons sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 3): 68% vs. a peer median of 34%.
  • Its UC Reach has risen 5 points since 2018.
  • Senior-class enrollment is down 2% (100→98 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -18%.
  • In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Los Angeles County's senior population shrank 8% over the same window — Academy of the Canyons only shrank 2%. So Academy of the Canyons picked up about 6 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
  • At its recent rate (-1.0%/yr), enrollment projects to ~364 by 2029 — about 11 fewer students than today.

Enrollment projection

375 students (2026)
~364 projected (2029)
at -1.0%/yr

That's about 11 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.

Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Academy of the Canyons Public 375 68.0% -2%
Peer-group median 33.9% -18%
Bowman (jereann) High (continuation) Public 268 -39%
Puc Lakeview Charter High Public 451 -19%
Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Academy Of Scientific Exploration (ase) Public 397 -17%
Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Social Justice Humanitas Academy Public 432 -24%
Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Technology Preparatory Academy Public 278 -15%
Sotomayor Arts And Sciences Magnet Public 540 +52%
Valley International Preparatory High Public 290 -20%
Cesar E. Chavez Learning Academies-Arts/theatre/entertain Mag Public 267 -32%
Magnolia Science Academy 2 Public 448 40.9% +14%
Valor Academy High School Public 505 26.8% +4%

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

Avg. Applicant GPA · top-6 UCs
4.05
Avg. Admitted GPA · top-6 UCs
4.24

Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus

How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?

Campus Applicant GPA (avg) Actual admit rate CA peer avg Δ Verdict
UC Berkeley 4.06 14.9% 13.6% +1.3pp On target
UCLA 4.04 15.8% 9.5% +6.3pp Over
UC San Diego 4.04 10.5% 19.2% -8.6pp Under
UC Santa Barbara 4.04 36.2% 34.7% +1.4pp On target
UC Irvine 4.05 14.5% 28.7% -14.1pp Under
UC Davis 4.09 61.3% 33.7% +27.6pp Over
"Applicant GPA" is the average GPA of this school's UC applicant pool — not an individual student GPA. "CA peer avg" is the application-weighted statewide admit rate at this school-pool GPA, fit separately per campus. At any given pool GPA, real admit rates span widely (UCSD ranges 8% → 65% across CA schools) because UCs use comprehensive review — context-of-opportunity, geography, demographics, and applicant essays all weigh in beyond GPA. A large negative residual flags this school is admitted at a meaningfully lower rate than other CA schools at the same pool GPA — not that students here were "rejected at expected rate X." "Over" / "Under" use a ±5-point band. Campuses with fewer than 5 applicants are omitted.

Where Academy of the Canyons sits vs. all California schools

Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (22.4% actual vs. 22.2% expected).

UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025

UC Admit Rate %
UC Reach % (where available)
UC Admits (count, right axis)

Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.

Campus Breakdown — 2025

Campus Applicants Admits Enrollees Admit Rate UC Reach Yield Avg GPA (App) Avg GPA (Adm)
UC Berkeley → Elite 47 7 5 14.9% 7.2% 71.4% 4.06 4.22
UCLA → Elite 57 9 7 15.8% 9.3% 77.8% 4.04 4.28
UC San Diego → Selective 57 6 10.5% 6.2% 4.04 4.30
UC Santa Barbara → Selective 47 17 36.2% 17.5% 4.04 4.26
UC Irvine → Selective 55 8 14.5% 8.2% 4.05 4.24
UC Davis → 31 19 61.3% 19.6% 4.09 4.20
⚠ Campus-level totals may count one student admitted to multiple UC campuses more than once. Admit Volume metrics are not the same as UC Reach, which requires unique-student counts. See methodology →

What This Means

A large share of the senior class applies to UC, indicating strong college-going culture and UC pipeline development.
A large share of the class applies to UC, so the admit rate runs lower than the application volume alone might suggest — expected when many students apply broadly, including to reach campuses. UC Reach (which credits every admit relative to the class) is the truer read of how the class fares: a strong Reach alongside a moderate admit rate is healthy, not a contradiction.
UC Reach is very strong — more than 68% of seniors are earning UC admission. This places the school among California's highest-performing high schools on this metric.
Strong UC Reach paired with low yield: students are earning UC admission at high rates and then enrolling elsewhere. The pattern is characteristic of competitive college-preparatory schools where many students choose more selective private colleges or out-of-state flagships over UC — UC functions as a strong backup option rather than a first choice.
The school generates broad UC access, but fewer students are reaching the most selective UC campuses (UCLA, Berkeley, UCSD, UCSB, UCI). Targeted academic enrichment and campus-fit advising may help.
Berkeley and UCLA admit volume is strong — a clear high-end signal for this school's academic preparation.
UC Reach has declined meaningfully year-over-year. This should be reviewed in context of applicant volume, GPA trends, course rigor changes, and peer-school performance before drawing conclusions.
Note: admit counts used here are campus-level totals. A student admitted to both UCLA and UCSD is counted twice. When UCOP unique-student data becomes available it will be loaded automatically and the labels will update.
Compare with other schools → See Los Angeles County rankings →

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