Susan H. Nelson High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Empire Springs Charter School → Bonsall High School → Murrieta Canyon Academy → Ortega High → Jcs - Pine Hills → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+5.2%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~349 | +17 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~387 | +55 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~428 | +96 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Riverside County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment growth is beating Riverside County (+27.8% vs. -2.7%), but 266 of 502 students didn't maintain continuous enrollment. Why are families leaving once enrolled? Chronic absenteeism is also at 39.3% (up -21.5 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
266 of 502 students who enrolled at Susan H. Nelson High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (53.0% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is down 21.5 pp since 2016-17. Engagement improving — a positive trajectory worth understanding and reinforcing.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Temecula Valley Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 30.6%
Federal: 7.5%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Temecula Valley Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
Susan H. Nelson High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Temecula · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 28% (97→124 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -4%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+5.2%/yr); projects to ~387 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susan H. Nelson High School | Public | 332 | — | +28% |
| Peer-group median | 5.9% | -4% | ||
| Empire Springs Charter School | Public | 519 | — | +15% |
| Bonsall High School | Public | 294 | 7.5% | +51% |
| Murrieta Canyon Academy | Public | 212 | — | -40% |
| Ortega High | Public | 333 | — | +19% |
| Jcs - Pine Hills | Public | 747 | — | +27% |
| Rancho Vista High | Public | 117 | — | -2% |
| Citrus Springs Charter | Public | 910 | — | -20% |
| Pacific View Charter School | Public | 379 | — | -16% |
| Vista Springs Charter | Public | 235 | — | -57% |
| River Springs Charter School | Public | 1132 | 4.3% | -6% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2023 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2024.
UC Outcomes Trend — 2022–2023
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '23 | Avg GPA (Adm) '23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UCLA → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Davis → | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |