River Springs Charter School
Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Citrus Springs Charter → Temecula Preparatory School → Jcs - Pine Hills → Empire Springs Charter School → Murrieta Mesa High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+2.6%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,162 | +30 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,223 | +91 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,288 | +156 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Riverside County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Tracking Riverside County on enrollment (-5.7% vs. -6.9%), but stability (77.5%) is below the county median. Retention is the levered fix.
254 of 1,127 students who enrolled at River Springs Charter School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (22.5% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 7.3 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
-9.1 pp vs. peer median (13.4%) · Ranked #7 of 8 similar schools
18.5%
13.4%
53.3%
4.3%
Higher than 3% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
River Springs Charter School's UC Reach of 4.3% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Overall, River Springs Charter School's UC Reach is higher than 3% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
River Springs Charter School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Temecula · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, River Springs Charter School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #7 of 8): 4% vs. a peer median of 13%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 2 points since 2024.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 6% (209→197 from 2024 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of -6%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+2.6%/yr); projects to ~1223 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Springs Charter School | Public | 1132 | 4.3% | -6% |
| Peer-group median | 13.4% | -6% | ||
| Citrus Springs Charter | Public | 910 | — | -20% |
| Temecula Preparatory School | Public | 1087 | 43.1% | +16% |
| Jcs - Pine Hills | Public | 747 | — | +27% |
| Empire Springs Charter School | Public | 519 | — | +15% |
| Murrieta Mesa High School | Public | 2026 | 13.4% | -12% |
| Murrieta Valley High School | Public | 2174 | 17.5% | -11% |
| Valley Center High School | Public | 1019 | 10.5% | -12% |
| Santa Rosa Academy | Public | 1708 | 2.5% | -9% |
| Temecula Valley High School | Public | 2703 | 24.9% | -2% |
| California Military Institute | Public | 1029 | 9.6% | -2% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.90 | 71.4% | 28.7% | +42.8pp | Over |
| UC Davis | 3.89 | 80.0% | 32.2% | +47.8pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 7 | 5 | — | 71.4% | 2.4% | — | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | — |
| UC Davis → | 5 | 4 | — | 80.0% | 1.9% | — | 3.89 | — |