Roosevelt Junior High

· Stanislaus County · Modesto City Elementary
Public Stanislaus County 🏛 Modesto City Elementary → CDS 5071167…
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Compare with peers

Most similar nearby schools

Prescott Junior High → Connecting Waters Charter School - Central Valley → La Loma Junior High → Mark Twain Junior High → Great Valley Academy → Compare all similar →

No UC admissions data on file for Roosevelt Junior High.

This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment
889 (2018)798 (2026)
-10.2%

If this trend holds (-1.3%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~787 -11 $0
3 yr (2029) ~766 -32 $0
5 yr (2031) ~746 -52 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Stanislaus County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Stability rate
85.5%
769 of 899 students

130 of 899 students who enrolled at Roosevelt Junior High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (14.5% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Stanislaus County median
89.4% · school is in the 31st percentile of 55 HS
Statewide median
88.7% · in the 36th percentile of 2,648 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (710) 84.6%
Hispanic / Latino (530) 85.3%
English learners (198) 71.7%
White (166) 89.2%
Students w/ disabilities (133) 85.0%
Two or more races (59) 83.1%

Nearest peer high schools

Prescott Junior High 91.3% Connecting Waters Charter School - Central Valley 93.5% La Loma Junior High 83.4% Mark Twain Junior High 100.0% Great Valley Academy 91.2%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.

Chronic absent
21.2%
183 of 863 students

Absenteeism is up 7.0 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.

Stanislaus County median
18.7% · school is worse than 60% of 55 HS
Statewide median
20.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

Roosevelt Junior High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • At its recent rate (-1.3%/yr), enrollment projects to ~766 by 2029 — about 32 fewer students than today.

Enrollment projection

798 students (2026)
~766 projected (2029)
at -1.3%/yr

That's about 32 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.

Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Roosevelt Junior High Public 798
Peer-group median 11.8% +107%
Prescott Junior High Public 769
Connecting Waters Charter School - Central Valley Public 747 +1633%
La Loma Junior High Public 717
Mark Twain Junior High Public 672
Great Valley Academy Public 1010
Riverbank High School Public 826 11.8% +23%
Aspire Vanguard College Preparatory Academy Public 654 +191%
Stanislaus Alternative Charter Public 565 -69%
Great Valley Academy - Salida Public 916
Cesar Chavez Junior High Public 683

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

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