Aspire Vanguard College Preparatory Academy
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Most similar nearby schools
Stanislaus Alternative Charter → Connecting Waters Charter School - Central Valley → Riverbank High School → Connecting Waters Charter Sch → Hughson High School → Compare all similar →No UC admissions data on file for Aspire Vanguard College Preparatory Academy.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+7.9%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~706 | +52 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~822 | +168 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~958 | +304 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Stanislaus County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Aspire Vanguard College Preparatory Academy outperformed Stanislaus County on enrollment (school +191.3% vs. county +2.3%) AND maintains 90.8% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working. Chronic absenteeism is rising (27.4%, +-2.7 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.
26 of 282 students who enrolled at Aspire Vanguard College Preparatory Academy this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (9.2% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 4.7 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Aspire Vanguard College Preparatory Academy — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 191% (23→67 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +18%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+7.9%/yr); projects to ~822 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aspire Vanguard College Preparatory Academy | Public | 654 | — | +191% |
| Peer-group median | 10.6% | +18% | ||
| Stanislaus Alternative Charter | Public | 565 | — | -69% |
| Connecting Waters Charter School - Central Valley | Public | 747 | — | +1633% |
| Riverbank High School | Public | 826 | 11.8% | +23% |
| Connecting Waters Charter Sch | Public | 697 | 7.0% | -66% |
| Hughson High School | Public | 902 | 12.2% | +55% |
| Waterford High School | Public | 578 | 2.4% | +36% |
| Escalon High School | Public | 776 | 9.4% | -5% |
| Hilmar High School | Public | 700 | 9.0% | +21% |
| Delhi High School | Public | 716 | 25.3% | -15% |
| Ripon High School | Public | 1002 | 18.4% | +15% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →