Robert O. Townsend Junior High

· San Bernardino County · Chino Valley Unified
Public San Bernardino County 🏛 Chino Valley Unified → CDS 3667678…
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Most similar nearby schools

Allegiance Steam Academy - Thrive → Canyon Hills Junior High → Cal Aero Preserve Academy → Don Antonio Lugo High School → Pomona High School → Compare all similar →

No UC admissions data on file for Robert O. Townsend Junior High.

This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment
1,133 (2018)927 (2026)
-18.2%

If this trend holds (-2.5%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~904 -23 $0
3 yr (2029) ~860 -67 $0
5 yr (2031) ~818 -109 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Bernardino County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Stability rate
91.4%
876 of 958 students

82 of 958 students who enrolled at Robert O. Townsend Junior High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (8.6% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

San Bernardino County median
83.7% · school is in the 82nd percentile of 157 HS
Statewide median
88.7% · in the 67th percentile of 2,648 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (549) 88.5%
Hispanic / Latino (399) 91.0%
Asian (283) 90.1%
White (145) 92.4%
Students w/ disabilities (107) 91.6%
English learners (91) 74.7%

Nearest peer high schools

Allegiance Steam Academy - Thrive 92.8% Canyon Hills Junior High 93.9% Cal Aero Preserve Academy 90.4% Don Antonio Lugo High School 86.2% Pomona High School 81.3%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.

Chronic absent
11.0%
103 of 939 students

Absenteeism is up 6.0 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.

San Bernardino County median
24.5% · school is better than 81% of 155 HS
Statewide median
20.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

District financial profile — Chino Valley Unified (FY2020)

From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.

Total revenue
$395.7M
+5.2% since FY2017
Per-pupil revenue
$14,922
26,520 students enrolled
Revenue mix
State: 55.7%
Local: 35.2%
Federal: 9.2%
Instruction share
60.6%
of current spending · $7,523/pupil
Long-term debt
$597.1M
+69.0% since FY2017
Total revenue by year ($M)
Total expenditure by year ($M)

Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Chino Valley Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).

Robert O. Townsend Junior High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • At its recent rate (-2.5%/yr), enrollment projects to ~860 by 2029 — about 67 fewer students than today.

Enrollment projection

927 students (2026)
~860 projected (2029)
at -2.5%/yr

That's about 67 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.

Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Robert O. Townsend Junior High Public 927
Peer-group median 14.0% -24%
Allegiance Steam Academy - Thrive Public 953
Canyon Hills Junior High Public 1088
Cal Aero Preserve Academy Public 974
Don Antonio Lugo High School Public 1158 9.9% -24%
Pomona High School Public 906 15.0% -27%
Ganesha High School Public 799 14.0% -1%
Stanley G. Oswalt Academy Public 875
Cesar Chavez Academy Public 1017
El Rancho Charter Public 1123
Central Language Academy Public 751

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

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