River Valley Charter School

Lakeside · San Diego County
Public San Diego County ~36 seniors CDS 3768189…
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Most similar nearby schools

Idea Center High School → City Heights Preparatory Charter → Greater San Diego Academy → Mountain Valley Academy → Jcs Manzanita → Compare all similar →

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment (9–12)
165 (2024)170 (2026)
+3.0%
Grade 12 (graduating class)
41 (2024)37 (2026)
-9.8%

If this trend holds (+1.5%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~173 +3 $0
3 yr (2029) ~178 +8 $0
5 yr (2031) ~183 +13 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Diego County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Healthy
Outperforming the market — gaining relative share even as San Diego County contracts.

River Valley Charter School is shrinking (-9.8%) but San Diego County is shrinking faster (-12.5%), so River Valley Charter School is winning roughly 2.7 pp of relative market share. Combined with 90.7% stability (county median 88.5%), this reflects a school that families actively chose during a market contraction. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.

-9.8%  school enrollment (2024–2026)
-12.5%  San Diego County baseline
+2.7pp  gap vs. county
90.7%  retention (county median 88.5%)
Enrollment — indexed to 100 at 2024
Stability rate by year (raw %)
Stability rate
90.7%
156 of 172 students

16 of 172 students who enrolled at River Valley Charter School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (9.3% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

San Diego County median
88.5% · school is in the 65th percentile of 121 HS
Statewide median
87.2% · in the 69th percentile of 1,688 HS

Stability by student group

White (168) 91.1%
Socio. disadvantaged (62) 79.0%
Hispanic / Latino (60) 81.7%
Students w/ disabilities (35) 77.1%

Nearest peer high schools

Idea Center High School 55.5% City Heights Preparatory Charter 88.8% Greater San Diego Academy 88.4% Mountain Valley Academy 76.0% Jcs Manzanita 75.0%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.

Chronic absent
3.0%
5 of 169 students

Absenteeism is down 3.2 pp since 2016-17. Engagement improving — a positive trajectory worth understanding and reinforcing.

San Diego County median
18.9% · school is better than 94% of 117 HS
Statewide median
22.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025

Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.

ELA — met or exceeded
n = 37
86.5%
incl. 56.8% exceeded
★ Top 10% CA
+25.9 pts above San Diego County median (60.6%) · CA median 54.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 79.3%
Math — met or exceeded
n = 37
64.9%
incl. 40.5% exceeded
★ Top 10% CA
+40.5 pts above San Diego County median (24.4%) · CA median 21.1% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 53.6%

Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.

Student composition — 2025-26

HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.

Race / ethnicity

White 69% +3.3
Hispanic / Latino 24%
Two or more 5% +1.7
Black / African Am. 1% -1.2
Asian 1% -1.2
Filipino 1% -2.4
American Indian 1%

Program subgroups

Students w/ disabilities 7%

Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.

University of California outcomes · Class of 2025
UC Reach
11%
4 admits / 36 seniors
Where this sits on the California curve
CA median
18.5%
Top 10%
53.3%
This school
11.1%
0%50%100%
CA median 18.5% Top 10% ≥ 53.3% This school 11.1%

Higher than 24% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)

📊 What this number means

River Valley Charter School's UC Reach of 11.1% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.

Overall, River Valley Charter School's UC Reach is higher than 24% of California high schools (1105 ranked).

UC Application Reach
16.7%
6 applications
In context: CA median 78.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 245.8% · San Diego Co. Top 10% ≥ 216.5% · higher than 2% of CA HS.
UC Admit Rate
66.7%
4 / 6 applications
In context: CA median 26.0% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 40.5% · higher than 99% of CA HS.
UC Yield Rate
75.0%
3 enrolled of 4 admitted
Yield vs. Enrollment Reach: Yield answers "of UC admits, what % chose UC?" — denominator is just the admits. A small admitted cohort can post a low yield even when the school sends a healthy share of its class to UC.
UC Enrollment Reach
8.3%
3 enrollees / 36 seniors
Enrollment Reach vs. Yield: Reach answers "of the whole senior class, what % ended up at UC?" — denominator is everyone. High Yield with low Enrollment Reach is common at elite privates: most admits matriculate, but the school sends most of its class to non-UC selective colleges.
A-G Completion
0%
2024-25 cohort
In context: CA median 55.9% · -55.9 pp vs. median · San Diego Co. 63.4%.
Selective UC Reach (UCSD, UCSB, UCI, UCD)
N/A
Elite UC Reach (UCB + UCLA)
N/A
Senior Class Size
36
CDE grade 12 (exact)
Total School Enrollment
164
All grades · CDE Census Day

River Valley Charter School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · Lakeside · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • River Valley Charter School's most recent UC Reach is 11% (share of seniors admitted to a top-6 UC).
  • Senior-class enrollment is down 10% (41→37 from 2024 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -24%.
  • In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. San Diego County's senior population shrank 12% over the same window — River Valley Charter School only shrank 10%. So River Valley Charter School picked up about 3 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
  • Enrollment has been growing (+1.5%/yr); projects to ~178 by 2029.

Enrollment projection

170 students (2026)
~178 projected (2029)
at +1.5%/yr

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
River Valley Charter School Public 170 11.1% -10%
Peer-group median -24%
Idea Center High School Public 129 -25%
City Heights Preparatory Charter Public 157 +175%
Greater San Diego Academy Public 196 -23%
Mountain Valley Academy Public 174 -48%
Jcs Manzanita Public 245 -78%
Altus Schools East County Public 297 -16%
Learning Choice Academy Public 179 -84%
Abraxas Continuation High Public 221 +95%
Merit Academy Public 72 +0%
Diego Valley East Public Charter Public 408 -70%

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

Avg. Applicant GPA · top-6 UCs
4.35

Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus

How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?

Campus Applicant GPA (avg) Actual admit rate CA peer avg Δ Verdict
UC Davis 4.35 66.7% 37.7% +28.9pp Over
"Applicant GPA" is the average GPA of this school's UC applicant pool — not an individual student GPA. "CA peer avg" is the application-weighted statewide admit rate at this school-pool GPA, fit separately per campus. At any given pool GPA, real admit rates span widely (UCSD ranges 8% → 65% across CA schools) because UCs use comprehensive review — context-of-opportunity, geography, demographics, and applicant essays all weigh in beyond GPA. A large negative residual flags this school is admitted at a meaningfully lower rate than other CA schools at the same pool GPA — not that students here were "rejected at expected rate X." "Over" / "Under" use a ±5-point band. Campuses with fewer than 5 applicants are omitted.

UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025

UC Admit Rate %
UC Reach % (where available)
UC Admits (count, right axis)

Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.

Campus Breakdown — 2025

Campus Applicants Admits Enrollees Admit Rate UC Reach Yield Avg GPA (App) Avg GPA (Adm)
UC Davis → 6 4 3 66.7% 11.1% 75.0% 4.35
⚠ Campus-level totals may count one student admitted to multiple UC campuses more than once. Admit Volume metrics are not the same as UC Reach, which requires unique-student counts. See methodology →

What This Means

A relatively small share of the senior class is entering the UC application pipeline. This may signal limited A-G completion, UC awareness gaps, or counseling capacity constraints. Broadening access is the highest-leverage opportunity for this school.
Fewer than 15% of seniors are earning UC admission. This may reflect a high non-UC college-going rate, significant A-G completion gaps, or an early-stage UC pipeline. A deeper review of A-G readiness and counseling capacity is warranted.
Note: admit counts used here are campus-level totals. A student admitted to both UCLA and UCSD is counted twice. When UCOP unique-student data becomes available it will be loaded automatically and the labels will update.
Compare with other schools → See San Diego County rankings →

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