Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep Middle
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Most similar nearby schools
Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep Elementary → Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep → Norwood Junior High → Higher Learning Academy → River Charter Schools Lighthouse Charter → Compare all similar →No UC admissions data on file for Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep Middle.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+0.2%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~519 | +1 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~521 | +3 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~524 | +6 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sacramento County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
10 of 519 students who enrolled at Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep Middle this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (1.9% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.
Low and stable absenteeism — students are engaged and showing up. The leading indicator is healthy.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
District financial profile — Natomas Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 29.9%
Federal: 12.0%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Natomas Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep Middle — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.2%/yr); projects to ~521 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep Middle | Public | 518 | — | — |
| Peer-group median | 29.4% | +10% | ||
| Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep Elementary | Public | 503 | — | — |
| Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep | Public | 634 | 29.4% | +10% |
| Norwood Junior High | Public | 488 | — | — |
| Higher Learning Academy | Public | 501 | — | — |
| River Charter Schools Lighthouse Charter | Public | 473 | — | — |
| Westside Preparatory Charter | Public | 484 | — | — |
| Highlands Community Charter | Public | 487 | — | -77% |
| Aspire Alexander Twilight Secondary Academy | Public | 508 | — | +218% |
| Martin Luther King Jr. Technology Academy | Public | 434 | — | — |
| H. Allen Hight Elementary | Public | 779 | — | — |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →