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Most similar nearby schools
Mission High School → Mission High → Burton (phillip And Sala) Academic High → Five Keys Charter (sf Sheriff's) → Jefferson High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.7%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~932 | -16 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~902 | -46 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~872 | -76 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
+32.1 pp above peer median (25.2%) · Ranked #1 of 6 similar schools
18.5%
25.2%
53.3%
57.3%
Higher than 92% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Mission Senior High School's UC Reach of 57.3% clears the statewide top-10% cutoff (53.3%) — meaning roughly 57 top-6 UC admits per 100 seniors, well above what most California schools achieve.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 45 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Mission Senior High School's UC Reach is higher than 92% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Mission Senior High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · San Francisco · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Mission Senior High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 6): 57% vs. a peer median of 25%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 20 points since 2018.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Mission Senior High School is admitting at roughly +16 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.898) alone would predict (38% actual vs. 22% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 6% (268→284 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +2%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.7%/yr), enrollment projects to ~902 by 2029 — about 46 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 46 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mission Senior High School | Public | 948 | 57.3% | +6% |
| Peer-group median | 25.2% | +2% | ||
| Mission High School | Public | 948 | — | +6% |
| Mission High | Public | 948 | — | -6% |
| Burton (phillip And Sala) Academic High | Public | 1015 | — | +0% |
| Five Keys Charter (sf Sheriff's) | Public | 753 | — | +65% |
| Jefferson High School | Public | 1041 | 13.8% | +9% |
| Balboa High School | Public | 1195 | 38.0% | +3% |
| El Camino High | Public | 1051 | 22.5% | -13% |
| Asawa (ruth) Sf Sch Of The Arts, A Public School | Public | 664 | — | -10% |
| Oakland School for the Arts | Public | 815 | 26.8% | +9% |
| Westmoor High School | Public | 1273 | 25.2% | -21% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.93 | 44.7% | 11.9% | +32.9pp | Over |
| UCLA | 3.96 | 12.3% | 9.1% | +3.2pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.95 | 19.6% | 21.1% | -1.5pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.88 | 26.5% | 27.9% | -1.5pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 3.91 | 73.5% | 23.2% | +50.3pp | Over |
| UC Davis | 3.82 | 47.9% | 32.0% | +15.8pp | Over |
Where Mission Senior High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 16.3 points above what their GPAs predict (38.0% actual vs. 21.6% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 76 | 34 | 25 | 44.7% | 13.0% | 73.5% | 3.93 | 4.08 |
| UCLA → Elite | 57 | 7 | — | 12.3% | 2.7% | — | 3.96 | 4.22 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 51 | 10 | — | 19.6% | 3.8% | — | 3.95 | 4.19 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 68 | 18 | — | 26.5% | 6.9% | — | 3.88 | 4.18 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 49 | 36 | — | 73.5% | 13.7% | — | 3.91 | 4.04 |
| UC Davis → | 94 | 45 | 10 | 47.9% | 17.2% | 22.2% | 3.82 | 4.08 |