Balboa High School
📄 Shareable scorecard →Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Westmoor High School → Jefferson High School → Burton (phillip And Sala) Academic High → South San Francisco Hs → El Camino High → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.8%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,186 | -9 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,168 | -27 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,150 | -45 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Francisco County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Balboa High School outperformed San Francisco County on enrollment (school +2.9% vs. county -1.6%) AND maintains 88.7% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working. Chronic absenteeism is rising (25.5%, +25.4 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.
149 of 1,318 students who enrolled at Balboa High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (11.3% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 25.4 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — San Francisco Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 56.0%
Federal: 7.8%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the San Francisco Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+15.5 pp above peer median (22.5%) · Ranked #3 of 8 similar schools
18.5%
53.3%
38.0%
Higher than 80% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Balboa High School's UC Reach of 38.0% is in the top quartile statewide (median 18.5%; top 25% bar 32.0%) — but it's still below the top-10% bar of 53.3%.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 65 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Balboa High School's UC Reach is higher than 80% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Balboa High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · San Francisco · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Balboa High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #3 of 8): 38% vs. a peer median of 22%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 5 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 3% (308→317 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -3%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.8%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1168 by 2029 — about 27 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 27 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balboa High School | Public | 1195 | 38.0% | +3% |
| Peer-group median | 22.5% | -3% | ||
| Westmoor High School | Public | 1273 | 25.2% | -21% |
| Jefferson High School | Public | 1041 | 13.8% | +9% |
| Burton (phillip And Sala) Academic High | Public | 1015 | — | +0% |
| South San Francisco Hs | Public | 1224 | 14.5% | -26% |
| El Camino High | Public | 1051 | 22.5% | -13% |
| Mission Senior High School | Public | 948 | 57.3% | +6% |
| Mission High School | Public | 948 | — | +6% |
| Mission High | Public | 948 | — | -6% |
| Capuchino High School | Public | 1086 | 14.2% | -1% |
| Mills High School | Public | 1120 | 59.3% | -16% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.85 | 13.1% | 11.6% | +1.4pp | On target |
| UCLA | 3.87 | 11.1% | 8.9% | +2.2pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.85 | 23.5% | 23.5% | -0.0pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.80 | 22.2% | 26.6% | -4.4pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 3.81 | 14.4% | 20.3% | -5.8pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 3.82 | 31.4% | 32.0% | -0.7pp | On target |
Where Balboa High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (19.6% actual vs. 20.6% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 130 | 17 | 12 | 13.1% | 5.1% | 70.6% | 3.85 | 4.19 |
| UCLA → Elite | 99 | 11 | 3 | 11.1% | 3.3% | 27.3% | 3.87 | 4.25 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 98 | 23 | 4 | 23.5% | 6.9% | 17.4% | 3.85 | 4.23 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 81 | 18 | — | 22.2% | 5.4% | — | 3.80 | 4.22 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 97 | 14 | — | 14.4% | 4.2% | — | 3.81 | 4.15 |
| UC Davis → | 137 | 43 | 20 | 31.4% | 13.0% | 46.5% | 3.82 | 4.11 |