Livermore High School
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Granada High School → Foothill High → Amador Valley High School → Mission San Jose High School → Dublin High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.9%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,786 | -16 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,754 | -48 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,723 | -79 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Alameda County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Families who enroll at Livermore High School stay (93.5% stability — elite). But enrollment is dropping 11.5× the county rate (school -6.9% vs. county +0.6%). The audit question isn't why students leave — it's why fewer families are choosing to enroll in the first place.
122 of 1,884 students who enrolled at Livermore High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (6.5% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 8.8 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Livermore Valley Joint Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 52.4%
Federal: 7.8%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Livermore Valley Joint Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-26.8 pp vs. peer median (47.1%) · Ranked #9 of 10 similar schools
18.5%
47.1%
53.3%
20.3%
Higher than 55% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Livermore High School's UC Reach of 20.3% is above the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
But in Alameda County, where the local median is 33.7% and the top-10% bar is 68.8%, this score is mid-pack rather than exceptional — typical of its market rather than a standout.
Against similar schools, Livermore High School trails the peer-group median (47.1%) — even though it looks strong vs. the state average.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 82 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Livermore High School's UC Reach is higher than 55% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Livermore High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Livermore · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Livermore High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #9 of 10): 20% vs. a peer median of 47%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 4 points since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 7% (464→432 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +2%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.9%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1754 by 2029 — about 48 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 48 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livermore High School | Public | 1802 | 20.3% | -7% |
| Peer-group median | 47.1% | +2% | ||
| Granada High School | Public | 2144 | 26.6% | +17% |
| Foothill High | Public | 2156 | 53.0% | +5% |
| Amador Valley High School | Public | 2556 | 53.7% | -3% |
| Mission San Jose High School | Public | 1740 | 70.1% | -16% |
| Dublin High School | Public | 2365 | 53.5% | +62% |
| Washington High School | Public | 1964 | 33.9% | -2% |
| Merrill F West High School | Public | 1845 | 16.6% | -12% |
| John C Kimball High School | Public | 1601 | 28.7% | +10% |
| Monte Vista High School | Public | 1999 | 47.1% | -7% |
| Mt. Eden High | Public | 1868 | — | +6% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 4.05 | 11.9% | 13.6% | -1.7pp | On target |
| UCLA | 4.00 | 9.5% | 9.2% | +0.2pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.98 | 14.1% | 20.3% | -6.2pp | Under |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.97 | 29.6% | 31.3% | -1.8pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 3.96 | 17.4% | 25.0% | -7.6pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 4.00 | 34.1% | 32.9% | +1.3pp | On target |
Where Livermore High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (19.8% actual vs. 22.4% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 67 | 8 | 5 | 11.9% | 1.8% | 62.5% | 4.05 | 4.24 |
| UCLA → Elite | 74 | 7 | 5 | 9.5% | 1.6% | 71.4% | 4.00 | 4.31 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 78 | 11 | 4 | 14.1% | 2.5% | 36.4% | 3.98 | 4.28 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 71 | 21 | — | 29.6% | 4.8% | — | 3.97 | 4.27 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 69 | 12 | 4 | 17.4% | 2.8% | 33.3% | 3.96 | 4.22 |
| UC Davis → | 85 | 29 | 6 | 34.1% | 6.7% | 20.7% | 4.00 | 4.24 |