Dublin High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Foothill High → California High School → Amador Valley High School → Dougherty Valley High School → Granada High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.9%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~2,321 | -44 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~2,235 | -130 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~2,152 | -213 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Alameda County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Dublin High School outperformed Alameda County on enrollment (school +61.9% vs. county +0.6%) AND maintains 96.5% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
98 of 2,816 students who enrolled at Dublin High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (3.5% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 9.0 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Dublin Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 51.5%
Federal: 3.6%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Dublin Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+6.7 pp above peer median (46.8%) · Ranked #4 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
46.8%
53.3%
53.5%
Higher than 90% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Dublin High School's UC Reach of 53.5% clears the statewide top-10% cutoff (53.3%) — meaning roughly 53 top-6 UC admits per 100 seniors, well above what most California schools achieve.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 49 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Dublin High School's UC Reach is higher than 90% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
| Campus | Entered | Finished in 4 yrs | Finished in 6 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Cruz | 24 | 88% | 96% |
| UC Berkeley | 22 | 82% | 96% |
Dublin High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Dublin · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Dublin High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 11): 54% vs. a peer median of 47%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 23 points since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 62% (549→889 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +1%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.9%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2235 by 2029 — about 130 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 130 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dublin High School | Public | 2365 | 53.5% | +62% |
| Peer-group median | 46.8% | +1% | ||
| Foothill High | Public | 2156 | 53.0% | +5% |
| California High School | Public | 2796 | 46.5% | +14% |
| Amador Valley High School | Public | 2556 | 53.7% | -3% |
| Dougherty Valley High School | Public | 2872 | 63.1% | -8% |
| Granada High School | Public | 2144 | 26.6% | +17% |
| San Ramon Valley High School | Public | 2128 | 26.5% | +10% |
| Monte Vista High School | Public | 1999 | 47.1% | -7% |
| Castro Valley High School | Public | 2919 | 37.2% | -2% |
| San Leandro High School | Public | 2542 | 25.2% | -8% |
| American High School | Public | 2694 | 68.3% | +24% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.91 | 9.2% | 11.7% | -2.5pp | On target |
| UCLA | 3.92 | 7.9% | 9.0% | -1.1pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.89 | 13.6% | 22.4% | -8.8pp | Under |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.88 | 22.9% | 27.9% | -5.0pp | Under |
| UC Irvine | 3.89 | 17.7% | 22.7% | -5.0pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 3.87 | 27.2% | 32.2% | -4.9pp | On target |
Where Dublin High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (16.5% actual vs. 21.1% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 435 | 40 | 27 | 9.2% | 4.9% | 67.5% | 3.91 | 4.22 |
| UCLA → Elite | 430 | 34 | 17 | 7.9% | 4.1% | 50.0% | 3.92 | 4.23 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 449 | 61 | 19 | 13.6% | 7.4% | 31.1% | 3.89 | 4.21 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 420 | 96 | 4 | 22.9% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 3.88 | 4.23 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 452 | 80 | 20 | 17.7% | 9.7% | 25.0% | 3.89 | 4.17 |
| UC Davis → | 474 | 129 | 32 | 27.2% | 15.7% | 24.8% | 3.87 | 4.14 |