John a Rowland High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Walnut High School → El Dorado High School → Diamond Bar High School → LA Habra High School → Brea Olinda High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.3%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~2,065 | -6 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~2,052 | -19 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~2,040 | -31 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Los Angeles County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
John a Rowland High School is shrinking (-2.3%) but Los Angeles County is shrinking faster (-8.2%), so John a Rowland High School is winning roughly 5.9 pp of relative market share. Combined with 90.2% stability (county median 87.3%), this reflects a school that families actively chose during a market contraction. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
208 of 2,132 students who enrolled at John a Rowland High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (9.8% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 5.5 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Rowland Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 22.2%
Federal: 15.4%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Rowland Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+2.4 pp above peer median (21.6%) · Ranked #5 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
53.3%
24.0%
Higher than 62% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
John a Rowland High School's UC Reach of 24.0% is above the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 79 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, John a Rowland High School's UC Reach is higher than 62% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
John a Rowland High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Rowland Heights · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, John a Rowland High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #5 of 11): 24% vs. a peer median of 22%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 4 points since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 2% (569→556 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -13%.
- ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Los Angeles County's senior population shrank 8% over the same window — John a Rowland High School only shrank 2%. So John a Rowland High School picked up about 6 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.3%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2052 by 2029 — about 19 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 19 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John a Rowland High School | Public | 2071 | 24.0% | -2% |
| Peer-group median | 21.6% | -13% | ||
| Walnut High School | Public | 2138 | 51.2% | -18% |
| El Dorado High School | Public | 2054 | 22.4% | +12% |
| Diamond Bar High School | Public | 2622 | 64.6% | -20% |
| LA Habra High School | Public | 1841 | 9.6% | -9% |
| Brea Olinda High School | Public | 1664 | 32.7% | -8% |
| Sonora High School | Public | 1695 | 14.2% | -20% |
| West Covina High School | Public | 1797 | 17.6% | -18% |
| Valencia High School | Public | 2242 | 27.8% | -6% |
| Nogales High School | Public | 1468 | 15.5% | -13% |
| Fullerton Union High School | Public | 1921 | 20.9% | -13% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.98 | 14.3% | 12.3% | +2.0pp | On target |
| UCLA | 3.91 | 7.2% | 9.0% | -1.8pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.91 | 21.4% | 22.0% | -0.5pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.88 | 25.3% | 28.0% | -2.7pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 3.87 | 15.4% | 22.0% | -6.6pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 3.88 | 41.3% | 32.2% | +9.1pp | Over |
Where John a Rowland High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (19.1% actual vs. 20.2% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 77 | 11 | 5 | 14.3% | 2.4% | 45.5% | 3.98 | 4.07 |
| UCLA → Elite | 111 | 8 | 6 | 7.2% | 1.7% | 75.0% | 3.91 | 4.18 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 112 | 24 | 10 | 21.4% | 5.2% | 41.7% | 3.91 | 4.20 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 87 | 22 | — | 25.3% | 4.8% | — | 3.88 | 4.19 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 130 | 20 | 7 | 15.4% | 4.3% | 35.0% | 3.87 | 4.16 |
| UC Davis → | 63 | 26 | 6 | 41.3% | 5.6% | 23.1% | 3.88 | 4.07 |