Hayfork High School

Hayfork · Trinity County · Mountain Valley Unified
Public Trinity County 🏛 Mountain Valley Unified → ~24 seniors CDS 5375028…
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Compare with peers

Most similar nearby schools

Laytonville High School → Agnes J. Johnson Charter → Salisbury High (continuation) → Six Rivers Charter School → Shasta Collegiate Academy → Compare all similar →

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment (9–12)
76 (2018)90 (2026)
+18.4%
Grade 12 (graduating class)
16 (2018)22 (2026)
+37.5%

If this trend holds (+2.1%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~92 +2 $0
3 yr (2029) ~96 +6 $0
5 yr (2031) ~100 +10 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Trinity County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Healthy
Best in class — winning on demand and retention.

Hayfork High School outperformed Trinity County on enrollment (school +37.5% vs. county -21.6%) AND maintains 89.9% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.

+37.5%  school enrollment (2018–2026)
-21.6%  Trinity County baseline
+59.1pp  gap vs. county
89.9%  retention (county median 68.6%)
Enrollment — indexed to 100 at 2018
Stability rate
89.9%
89 of 99 students

10 of 99 students who enrolled at Hayfork High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (10.1% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Trinity County median
68.6% · school is in the 100th percentile of 2 HS
Statewide median
87.2% · in the 65th percentile of 1,688 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (78) 88.5%
White (48) 87.5%
Asian (26) 96.2%

Nearest peer high schools

Laytonville High School 91.3% Agnes J. Johnson Charter 50.0% Salisbury High (continuation) 26.1% Six Rivers Charter School 91.5% Shasta Collegiate Academy 38.1%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.

Chronic absent
10.2%
10 of 98 students

Low and stable absenteeism — students are engaged and showing up. The leading indicator is healthy.

Trinity County median
60.3% · school is better than 100% of 2 HS
Statewide median
22.9%

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025

Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.

ELA — met or exceeded
n = 20
85.0%
incl. 55.0% exceeded
★ Top 10% CA
+58.0 pts above Trinity County median (27.0%) · CA median 54.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 79.3%
Math — met or exceeded
n = 20
70.0%
incl. 30.0% exceeded
★ Top 10% CA
+58.8 pts above Trinity County median (11.2%) · CA median 21.1% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 53.6%

Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.

Student composition — 2025-26

HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.

Race / ethnicity

White 53% -1.4
Asian 32% +5.9
Two or more 7%
Hispanic / Latino 4% -6.1
Black / African Am. 1%
American Indian 1%
Not reported 1%

Program subgroups

Students w/ disabilities 73% -13.0

Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.

District financial profile — Mountain Valley Unified (FY2020)

From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.

Total revenue
$6.8M
-62.3% since FY2017
Per-pupil revenue
$22,207
308 students enrolled
Revenue mix
State: 54.0%
Local: 31.4%
Federal: 14.7%
Instruction share
47.4%
of current spending · $8,724/pupil
Total revenue by year ($M)
Total expenditure by year ($M)

Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Mountain Valley Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).

University of California outcomes · Class of 2025
UC Reach
12%
3 admits / 24 seniors
+3.3 pp above peer median (9.2%) · Ranked #2 of 3 similar schools
Where this sits on the California curve
CA median
18.5%
Peer median
9.2%
Top 10%
53.3%
This school
12.5%
0%50%100%
CA median 18.5% Top 10% ≥ 53.3% This school 12.5%

Higher than 30% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)

📊 What this number means

Hayfork High School's UC Reach of 12.5% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.

Overall, Hayfork High School's UC Reach is higher than 30% of California high schools (1105 ranked).

UC Application Reach
45.8%
11 applications
In context: CA median 78.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 245.8% · higher than 24% of CA HS.
UC Admit Rate
27.3%
3 / 11 applications
In context: CA median 26.0% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 40.5% · higher than 57% of CA HS.
UC Yield Rate
N/A
None enrolled of 3 admitted
Yield vs. Enrollment Reach: Yield answers "of UC admits, what % chose UC?" — denominator is just the admits. A small admitted cohort can post a low yield even when the school sends a healthy share of its class to UC.
UC Enrollment Reach
N/A
None enrollees / 24 seniors
Enrollment Reach vs. Yield: Reach answers "of the whole senior class, what % ended up at UC?" — denominator is everyone. High Yield with low Enrollment Reach is common at elite privates: most admits matriculate, but the school sends most of its class to non-UC selective colleges.
Selective UC Reach (UCSD, UCSB, UCI, UCD)
N/A
Elite UC Reach (UCB + UCLA)
N/A
Senior Class Size
24
CDE grade 12 (exact)
Total School Enrollment
96
All grades · CDE Census Day

Hayfork High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · Hayfork · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • On UC Reach, Hayfork High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 3): 12% vs. a peer median of 9%.
  • Senior-class enrollment is up 38% (16→22 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -1%.
  • Enrollment has been growing (+2.1%/yr); projects to ~96 by 2029.

Enrollment projection

90 students (2026)
~96 projected (2029)
at +2.1%/yr

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Hayfork High School Public 90 12.5% +38%
Peer-group median 9.2% -1%
Laytonville High School Public 96 -7%
Agnes J. Johnson Charter Public 79 +0%
Salisbury High (continuation) Public 104 +21%
Six Rivers Charter School Public 107 +21%
Shasta Collegiate Academy Public 75 -48%
North Valley High Public 75 +0%
Northcoast Preparatory And Performing Arts Academy Public 109 -29%
East High (continuation) Public 74 -2%
Round Valley High School Public 110 13.6% +5%
Trinity High School Public 279 4.7% -21%

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

Avg. Applicant GPA · top-6 UCs
3.86

Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus

How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?

Campus Applicant GPA (avg) Actual admit rate CA peer avg Δ Verdict
UC Davis 3.84 60.0% 32.1% +27.9pp Over
"Applicant GPA" is the average GPA of this school's UC applicant pool — not an individual student GPA. "CA peer avg" is the application-weighted statewide admit rate at this school-pool GPA, fit separately per campus. At any given pool GPA, real admit rates span widely (UCSD ranges 8% → 65% across CA schools) because UCs use comprehensive review — context-of-opportunity, geography, demographics, and applicant essays all weigh in beyond GPA. A large negative residual flags this school is admitted at a meaningfully lower rate than other CA schools at the same pool GPA — not that students here were "rejected at expected rate X." "Over" / "Under" use a ±5-point band. Campuses with fewer than 5 applicants are omitted.

Campus Breakdown — 2025

Campus Applicants Admits Enrollees Admit Rate UC Reach Yield Avg GPA (App) Avg GPA (Adm)
UC Berkeley → Elite 6 3.87
UC Davis → 5 3 60.0% 12.5% 3.84
⚠ Campus-level totals may count one student admitted to multiple UC campuses more than once. Admit Volume metrics are not the same as UC Reach, which requires unique-student counts. See methodology →

What This Means

A large share of the senior class applies to UC, indicating strong college-going culture and UC pipeline development.
A large share of the class applies to UC, so the admit rate runs lower than the application volume alone might suggest — expected when many students apply broadly, including to reach campuses. UC Reach (which credits every admit relative to the class) is the truer read of how the class fares: a strong Reach alongside a moderate admit rate is healthy, not a contradiction.
Fewer than 15% of seniors are earning UC admission. This may reflect a high non-UC college-going rate, significant A-G completion gaps, or an early-stage UC pipeline. A deeper review of A-G readiness and counseling capacity is warranted.
Note: admit counts used here are campus-level totals. A student admitted to both UCLA and UCSD is counted twice. When UCOP unique-student data becomes available it will be loaded automatically and the labels will update.
Compare with other schools → See Trinity County rankings →

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