Evergreen Valley High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Silver Creek High School → Independence High School → Santa Teresa High School → Milpitas High School → Piedmont Hills High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.9%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~2,710 | -24 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~2,663 | -71 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~2,617 | -117 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Santa Clara County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Families who enroll at Evergreen Valley High School stay (96.3% stability — elite). But enrollment is dropping 1.4× the county rate (school -8.4% vs. county -6.2%). The audit question isn't why students leave — it's why fewer families are choosing to enroll in the first place.
102 of 2,763 students who enrolled at Evergreen Valley High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (3.7% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 5.0 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — East Side Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 51.7%
Federal: 7.1%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the East Side Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+14.7 pp above peer median (28.8%) · Ranked #2 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
28.8%
53.3%
43.5%
Higher than 84% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Evergreen Valley High School's UC Reach of 43.5% is in the top quartile statewide (median 18.5%; top 25% bar 32.0%) — but it's still below the top-10% bar of 53.3%.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 59 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Evergreen Valley High School's UC Reach is higher than 84% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
| Campus | Entered | Finished in 4 yrs | Finished in 6 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Riverside | 24 | 71% | 83% |
| UC Davis | 23 | 83% | 91% |
| UC Berkeley | 20 | 90% | 95% |
| UC Irvine | 20 | 95% | 100% |
Evergreen Valley High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · San Jose · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Evergreen Valley High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 11): 44% vs. a peer median of 29%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 3 points since 2018.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Evergreen Valley High School is admitting at roughly -6 percentage points below what its average applicant GPA (3.87) alone would predict (15% actual vs. 21% expected). That's worth understanding — it can reflect grade inflation that UC sees through, weaker holistic-review materials at the margin, or applicants concentrating at more selective campuses than typical. Not a verdict; a signal.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 8% (722→661 from 2018 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of -8%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.9%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2663 by 2029 — about 71 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 71 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen Valley High School | Public | 2734 | 43.5% | -8% |
| Peer-group median | 28.8% | -8% | ||
| Silver Creek High School | Public | 2057 | 28.2% | -16% |
| Independence High School | Public | 2229 | 17.0% | -24% |
| Santa Teresa High School | Public | 2205 | 27.5% | -1% |
| Milpitas High School | Public | 2895 | 29.3% | -8% |
| Piedmont Hills High School | Public | 1866 | 31.0% | -15% |
| Yerba Buena High School | Public | 1555 | 33.6% | -5% |
| Andrew P Hill High School | Public | 1497 | 12.0% | -7% |
| Branham High School | Public | 1819 | 33.1% | +30% |
| Leigh High School | Public | 1894 | 47.1% | +18% |
| William C. Overfelt High | Public | 1357 | 11.8% | -9% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.91 | 10.4% | 11.7% | -1.4pp | On target |
| UCLA | 3.89 | 7.3% | 9.0% | -1.6pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.87 | 14.0% | 23.0% | -9.1pp | Under |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.86 | 28.6% | 27.4% | +1.2pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 3.86 | 12.8% | 21.6% | -8.8pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 3.83 | 18.6% | 32.1% | -13.5pp | Under |
Where Evergreen Valley High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 5.9 points below what their GPAs predict (15.3% actual vs. 21.2% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 309 | 32 | 22 | 10.4% | 4.6% | 68.8% | 3.91 | 4.20 |
| UCLA → Elite | 314 | 23 | 12 | 7.3% | 3.3% | 52.2% | 3.89 | 4.25 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 344 | 48 | 10 | 14.0% | 6.9% | 20.8% | 3.87 | 4.26 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 308 | 88 | 11 | 28.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 3.86 | 4.24 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 352 | 45 | 15 | 12.8% | 6.4% | 33.3% | 3.86 | 4.18 |
| UC Davis → | 366 | 68 | 20 | 18.6% | 9.7% | 29.4% | 3.83 | 4.18 |