East Nicolaus High School
📄 Shareable scorecard →Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
South Lindhurst Continuation High → Heritage Peak Charter School → Marysville Charter Academy For The Arts → Yuba City Charter → Sava - Sacramento Academic And Vocational Academy → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.2%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~307 | +0 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~306 | -1 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~305 | -2 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sutter County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
East Nicolaus High School outperformed Sutter County on enrollment (school +3.9% vs. county -1.2%) AND maintains 93.7% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
20 of 317 students who enrolled at East Nicolaus High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (6.3% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 6.6 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — East Nicolaus Joint Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 32.8%
Federal: 8.9%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the East Nicolaus Joint Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
On the peer median (4.6%) · Ranked #1 of 3 similar schools
18.6%
4.6%
53.4%
5.3%
Higher than 6% of California high schools (1142 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
East Nicolaus High School's UC Reach of 5.3% is below the California median (18.6%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.4% or higher.
Overall, East Nicolaus High School's UC Reach is higher than 6% of California high schools (1142 ranked).
East Nicolaus High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Trowbridge · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, East Nicolaus High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 3): 5% vs. a peer median of 5%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has held roughly steady since 2019.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 4% (76→79 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -12%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.2%/yr), enrollment projects to ~306 by 2029 — about 1 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 1 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Nicolaus High School | Public | 307 | 5.3% | +4% |
| Peer-group median | 4.6% | -12% | ||
| South Lindhurst Continuation High | Public | 232 | — | +51% |
| Heritage Peak Charter School | Public | 344 | — | -8% |
| Marysville Charter Academy For The Arts | Public | 378 | — | +26% |
| Yuba City Charter | Public | 246 | — | -44% |
| Sava - Sacramento Academic And Vocational Academy | Public | 250 | — | -94% |
| Yuba County Career Preparatory Charter | Public | 217 | — | -66% |
| Futures High School | Public | 394 | 4.3% | -13% |
| Core Charter School | Public | 206 | — | -12% |
| Horizon Charter School | Public | 639 | 4.9% | -3% |
| Highlands Community Charter | Public | 487 | — | -77% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 4.07 | 50.0% | 32.3% | +17.7pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2024
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Davis → | 8 | 4 | — | 50.0% | 5.3% | — | 4.07 | — |