Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Western Sierra Collegiate Academy → Lincoln High School → Creative Connections Arts Academy → San Juan High School → Highlands High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+0.3%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~641 | +2 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~645 | +6 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~649 | +10 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Placer County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment down 3.4% vs. county -0.7%, AND stability (80.8%) below the county median. Fewer families are choosing the school, and the ones who do aren't staying through year-end.
137 of 712 students who enrolled at Horizon Charter School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (19.2% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Low and stable absenteeism — students are engaged and showing up. The leading indicator is healthy.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Horizon Charter School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Lincoln · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Horizon Charter School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 6): 5% vs. a peer median of 6%.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 3% (205→198 from 2024 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +2%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.3%/yr); projects to ~645 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horizon Charter School | Public | 639 | 4.9% | -3% |
| Peer-group median | 6.4% | +2% | ||
| Western Sierra Collegiate Academy | Public | 782 | — | +5% |
| Lincoln High School | Public | 1117 | 3.9% | -34% |
| Creative Connections Arts Academy | Public | 786 | — | +64% |
| San Juan High School | Public | 523 | 6.4% | -8% |
| Highlands High School | Public | 791 | 4.3% | +22% |
| Mesa Verde High School | Public | 847 | 6.7% | -1% |
| John Adams Academy - Lincoln | Public | 1390 | — | +14% |
| Twelve Bridges High School | Public | 1377 | 14.8% | +28% |
| Options For Youth San Juan | Public | 742 | — | -24% |
| Community Collaborative Charter | Public | 810 | — | -66% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
UC Outcomes Trend — 2020–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis → | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | — |