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Davis Senior High → Pioneer High → John F. Kennedy High → River City High School → Natomas Charter → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.2%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,754 | -4 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,747 | -11 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,739 | -19 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Davis Senior High School sent 1,340 applications to the six most selective University of California campuses and 22.0% were admitted, producing a UC Reach of 52.7% — 34.2 percentage points above the California median of 18.5%, higher than 90% of California high schools. The school produces 7.0 UCLA + UC Berkeley admits per 100 seniors.
+33.5 pp above peer median (19.2%) · Ranked #1 of 10 similar schools
18.5%
53.3%
52.7%
Higher than 90% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Davis Senior High School's UC Reach of 52.7% is in the top quartile statewide (median 18.5%; top 25% bar 32.0%) — but it's still below the top-10% bar of 53.3%.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 50 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Davis Senior High School's UC Reach is higher than 90% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
| Campus | Entered | Finished in 4 yrs | Finished in 6 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 27 | 63% | 89% |
| UC Santa Cruz | 22 | 73% | 86% |
Davis Senior High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Davis · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Davis Senior High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 10): 53% vs. a peer median of 19%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 11 points since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 2% (605→591 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +2%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.2%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1747 by 2029 — about 11 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 11 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Senior High School | Public | 1758 | 52.7% | -2% |
| Peer-group median | 19.2% | +2% | ||
| Davis Senior High | Public | 1758 | — | +5% |
| Pioneer High | Public | 1621 | 19.2% | +4% |
| John F. Kennedy High | Public | 1663 | 12.2% | -13% |
| River City High School | Public | 2099 | 19.6% | +7% |
| Natomas Charter | Public | 1899 | 39.6% | +17% |
| Westlake Charter | Public | 1492 | 38.1% | -17% |
| Woodland High School | Public | 1142 | 18.7% | -15% |
| Inderkum High School | Public | 2169 | 28.5% | -1% |
| Luther Burbank High School | Public | 1512 | 9.6% | -3% |
| Hiram W Johnson High School | Public | 1637 | 8.3% | +18% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
UC funnel — which kids are getting in at what GPA
Combining the school's applicant pool GPA, admit pool GPA, actual admit rate, and statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, we can read which GPA tiers tend to get in — and which don't.
| Campus | 4.00+ GPA | 3.70–3.99 GPA | 3.30–3.69 GPA | < 3.30 GPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out | Filtered out |
| UCLA | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out | Filtered out |
| UC San Diego | Strong shot | Moderate | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Santa Barbara | Strong shot | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Irvine | Strong shot | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Davis | Strong shot | Strong shot | Real shot | Filtered out |
The numbers behind it
| Campus | Applicant GPA | Admit GPA | Lift ⓘ | Admit rate | vs peer schools @ same GPA ⓘ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 4.08 | 4.27 | +0.18 | 9.8% | Peers +0.19 · matches |
| UCLA | 4.09 | 4.29 | +0.20 | 8.3% | Peers +0.22 · matches |
| UC San Diego | 4.04 | 4.27 | +0.23 | 22.2% | Peers +0.24 · matches |
| UC Santa Barbara | 4.05 | 4.28 | +0.22 | 31.2% | Peers +0.24 · matches |
| UC Irvine | 4.05 | 4.21 | +0.16 | 16.1% | Peers +0.20 · wider |
| UC Davis | 4.02 | 4.23 | +0.22 | 42.2% | Peers +0.20 · matches |
📊 Statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, 2025 (for reference)
| GPA band | UCB | UCLA | UCSD | UCSB | UCI | UCD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00+ | 17.0% | 15.1% | 45.2% | 62.3% | 46.3% | 65.9% |
| 3.70–3.99 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 31.1% |
| 3.30–3.69 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 10.3% |
| 3.00–3.29 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.9% |
| < 3.00 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% |
Where Davis Senior High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (22.0% actual vs. 23.6% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 225 | 22 | 14 | 9.8% | 3.9% | 63.6% | 4.08 | 4.27 |
| UCLA → Elite | 206 | 17 | 10 | 8.3% | 3.0% | 58.8% | 4.09 | 4.29 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 243 | 54 | 13 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 24.1% | 4.04 | 4.27 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 231 | 72 | 21 | 31.2% | 12.9% | 29.2% | 4.05 | 4.28 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 205 | 33 | 4 | 16.1% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 4.05 | 4.21 |
| UC Davis → | 230 | 97 | 22 | 42.2% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 4.02 | 4.23 |