Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Durham High School → Inspire School Of Arts And Sciences → Paradise High School → Hamilton High → Willows High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+1.6%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~412 | +7 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~425 | +20 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~439 | +34 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Butte County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment is shrinking faster than Butte County (school -11.2% vs. county -8.9%) with stability (81.8%) near the county median. Two problems compounding — the recruitment side is the higher-leverage starting point.
79 of 435 students who enrolled at Core Butte Charter School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (18.2% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Low and stable absenteeism — students are engaged and showing up. The leading indicator is healthy.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Core Butte Charter School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Chico · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 11% (116→103 from 2024 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +12%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+1.6%/yr); projects to ~425 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Core Butte Charter School | Public | 405 | — | -11% |
| Peer-group median | 5.5% | +12% | ||
| Durham High School | Public | 326 | 5.6% | +33% |
| Inspire School Of Arts And Sciences | Public | 299 | 12.5% | -18% |
| Paradise High School | Public | 502 | 3.0% | -46% |
| Hamilton High | Public | 320 | — | +42% |
| Willows High School | Public | 419 | 5.5% | +0% |
| Hometech Charter | Public | 145 | — | +41% |
| Oroville High School | Public | 830 | 5.0% | -6% |
| Orland High School | Public | 754 | 10.0% | +23% |
| Fair View High (continuation) | Public | 100 | — | -20% |
| Gridley High School | Public | 685 | 2.8% | +36% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2023 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2024.
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA? Based on 2023 (latest GPA available).
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 3.85 | 50.0% | 32.0% | +18.0pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2021–2023
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '23 | Avg GPA (Adm) '23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Davis → | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | — |