Capuchino High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Mills High School → El Camino High → South San Francisco Hs → Jefferson High School → Burton (phillip And Sala) Academic High → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.4%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,071 | -15 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,042 | -44 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,013 | -73 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Mateo County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Capuchino High School is recruiting families faster than San Mateo County is shrinking (school -0.7% vs. county -5.3%), but 67 students didn't make it to year-end. The recruitment engine works; the mid-year exits are worth understanding. Chronic absenteeism is rising (21.2%, +6.7 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.
67 of 1,101 students who enrolled at Capuchino High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (6.1% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 6.7 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — San Mateo Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 85.0%
Federal: 3.6%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the San Mateo Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-11.0 pp vs. peer median (25.2%) · Ranked #8 of 10 similar schools
18.5%
25.2%
53.3%
14.2%
Higher than 38% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Capuchino High School's UC Reach of 14.2% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
But in San Mateo County, where the local median is 29.6% and the top-10% bar is 65.8%, this score is mid-pack rather than exceptional — typical of its market rather than a standout.
Overall, Capuchino High School's UC Reach is higher than 38% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Capuchino High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · San Bruno · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Capuchino High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #8 of 10): 14% vs. a peer median of 25%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 6 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 1% (300→298 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -14%.
- ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. San Mateo County's senior population shrank 5% over the same window — Capuchino High School only shrank 1%. So Capuchino High School picked up about 5 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.4%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1042 by 2029 — about 44 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 44 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capuchino High School | Public | 1086 | 14.2% | -1% |
| Peer-group median | 25.2% | -14% | ||
| Mills High School | Public | 1120 | 59.3% | -16% |
| El Camino High | Public | 1051 | 22.5% | -13% |
| South San Francisco Hs | Public | 1224 | 14.5% | -26% |
| Jefferson High School | Public | 1041 | 13.8% | +9% |
| Burton (phillip And Sala) Academic High | Public | 1015 | — | +0% |
| Balboa High School | Public | 1195 | 38.0% | +3% |
| Westmoor High School | Public | 1273 | 25.2% | -21% |
| San Mateo High School | Public | 1532 | 33.0% | -17% |
| Burlingame High School | Public | 1627 | 44.7% | +18% |
| Terra Nova High School | Public | 713 | 10.1% | -36% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 4.07 | 15.4% | 14.0% | +1.4pp | On target |
| UCLA | 4.08 | 7.1% | 9.7% | -2.6pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 4.04 | 11.8% | 19.1% | -7.3pp | Under |
| UC Santa Barbara | 4.06 | 40.6% | 36.5% | +4.1pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 4.04 | 43.8% | 33.2% | +10.5pp | Over |
Where Capuchino High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (22.3% actual vs. 21.4% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 39 | 6 | — | 15.4% | 2.1% | — | 4.07 | 4.25 |
| UCLA → Elite | 42 | 3 | 3 | 7.1% | 1.1% | 100.0% | 4.08 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 34 | 4 | — | 11.8% | 1.4% | — | 4.04 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 32 | 13 | — | 40.6% | 4.6% | — | 4.06 | 4.29 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | — |
| UC Davis → | 32 | 14 | 5 | 43.8% | 5.0% | 35.7% | 4.04 | 4.21 |