Canyon High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Villa Park High School → Valencia High School → Katella High School → El Dorado High School → Foothill High → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.1%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~2,240 | -1 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~2,238 | -3 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~2,235 | -6 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Orange County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Canyon High School is shrinking (-1.0%) but Orange County is shrinking faster (-7.1%), so Canyon High School is winning roughly 6.1 pp of relative market share. Combined with 94.2% stability (county median 91.8%), this reflects a school that families actively chose during a market contraction. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
131 of 2,257 students who enrolled at Canyon High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (5.8% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 7.5 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Orange Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 54.3%
Federal: 10.5%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Orange Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+5.3 pp above peer median (23.5%) · Ranked #4 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
23.5%
53.3%
28.8%
Higher than 71% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Canyon High School's UC Reach of 28.8% is above the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 74 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Canyon High School's UC Reach is higher than 71% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
| Campus | Entered | Finished in 4 yrs | Finished in 6 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine | 35 | 89% | 97% |
| UC Riverside | 28 | 86% | 93% |
Canyon High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Anaheim · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Canyon High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 11): 29% vs. a peer median of 24%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 8 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Canyon High School is admitting at roughly -5 percentage points below what its average applicant GPA (3.988) alone would predict (16% actual vs. 21% expected). That's worth understanding — it can reflect grade inflation that UC sees through, weaker holistic-review materials at the margin, or applicants concentrating at more selective campuses than typical. Not a verdict; a signal.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 1% (572→566 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -8%.
- ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Orange County's senior population shrank 7% over the same window — Canyon High School only shrank 1%. So Canyon High School picked up about 6 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2238 by 2029 — about 3 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 3 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canyon High School | Public | 2241 | 28.8% | -1% |
| Peer-group median | 23.5% | -8% | ||
| Villa Park High School | Public | 2049 | 20.6% | -14% |
| Valencia High School | Public | 2242 | 27.8% | -6% |
| Katella High School | Public | 2168 | 11.3% | -20% |
| El Dorado High School | Public | 2054 | 22.4% | +12% |
| Foothill High | Public | 2050 | 24.6% | +3% |
| Troy High School | Public | 2422 | 71.6% | -16% |
| Northwood High School | Public | 2255 | 70.8% | -11% |
| Santa Ana High School | Public | 2196 | 13.5% | -4% |
| El Modena High School | Public | 1756 | 11.6% | -9% |
| Yorba Linda High School | Public | 1706 | 38.6% | -7% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 4.06 | 8.3% | 13.8% | -5.5pp | Under |
| UCLA | 4.00 | 8.2% | 9.3% | -1.1pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.99 | 14.1% | 20.2% | -6.1pp | Under |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.98 | 23.1% | 31.8% | -8.7pp | Under |
| UC Irvine | 3.95 | 21.6% | 24.7% | -3.1pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 3.94 | 23.3% | 32.5% | -9.2pp | Under |
Where Canyon High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 5.1 points below what their GPAs predict (16.1% actual vs. 21.2% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 121 | 10 | 5 | 8.3% | 1.9% | 50.0% | 4.06 | 4.22 |
| UCLA → Elite | 184 | 15 | 10 | 8.2% | 2.9% | 66.7% | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 185 | 26 | 5 | 14.1% | 5.0% | 19.2% | 3.99 | 4.26 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 147 | 34 | 5 | 23.1% | 6.5% | 14.7% | 3.98 | 4.30 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 208 | 45 | 22 | 21.6% | 8.7% | 48.9% | 3.95 | 4.24 |
| UC Davis → | 86 | 20 | 4 | 23.3% | 3.8% | 20.0% | 3.94 | 4.21 |