Black Butte Junior High
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Most similar nearby schools
North Valley High → Anderson New Technology High → Oakview High (alternative) → Shasta Collegiate Academy → Lassen-Antelope Volcanic Academy (lava) → Compare all similar →No UC admissions data on file for Black Butte Junior High.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+4.6%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~96 | +4 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~105 | +13 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~115 | +23 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Shasta County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
25 of 99 students who enrolled at Black Butte Junior High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (25.3% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.
Absenteeism is up 10.5 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Black Butte Junior High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+4.6%/yr); projects to ~105 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Butte Junior High | Public | 92 | — | — |
| Peer-group median | — | -3% | ||
| North Valley High | Public | 75 | — | +0% |
| Anderson New Technology High | Public | 130 | — | -26% |
| Oakview High (alternative) | Public | 64 | — | -3% |
| Shasta Collegiate Academy | Public | 75 | — | -48% |
| Lassen-Antelope Volcanic Academy (lava) | Public | 96 | — | — |
| California Heritage Youthbuild Academy Ii | Public | 156 | — | -55% |
| Mountain Lakes High | Public | 64 | — | +12% |
| Salisbury High (continuation) | Public | 104 | — | +21% |
| Chrysalis Charter | Public | 217 | — | — |
| Rocky Point Charter | Public | 160 | — | — |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →