Atwater Senior Academy

· Merced County · Atwater Elementary
Public Merced County 🏛 Atwater Elementary → CDS 2465631…
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Compare with peers

Most similar nearby schools

Irwin High (continuation) → Sentinel High → Dickens (billy Joe) High (continuation) → Johansen High School → Granada High → Compare all similar →

No UC admissions data on file for Atwater Senior Academy.

This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment
8 (2018)7 (2026)
-12.5%

If this trend holds (-1.7%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~7 +0 $0
3 yr (2029) ~7 +0 $0
5 yr (2031) ~6 -1 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Merced County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Stability rate
8.7%
2 of 23 students

21 of 23 students who enrolled at Atwater Senior Academy this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (91.3% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Merced County median
87.5% · school is in the 0th percentile of 22 HS
Statewide median
88.7% · in the 0th percentile of 2,648 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (20) 10.0%

Nearest peer high schools

Irwin High (continuation) 40.9% Sentinel High 44.4% Dickens (billy Joe) High (continuation) 19.1% Granada High 27.5%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.

Chronic absent
61.1%
11 of 18 students

Absenteeism is down 10.3 pp since 2016-17. Engagement improving — a positive trajectory worth understanding and reinforcing.

Merced County median
24.6% · school is worse than 91% of 22 HS
Statewide median
20.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

Atwater Senior Academy — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • We don't yet have enough UC-outcome or enrollment history for Atwater Senior Academy to build a full trend — but its similar-school comparison is below.

Enrollment projection

7 students (2026)
~7 projected (2029)
at -1.7%/yr

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Atwater Senior Academy Public 7
Peer-group median +15%
Irwin High (continuation) Public 10 -60%
Sentinel High Public 4 -88%
Dickens (billy Joe) High (continuation) Public 17 -43%
Johansen High School Public
Granada High Public 22 -33%
Pioneer High (continuation) Public 25 +100%
West Side Valley High (continuation) Public 30 +64%
Sequoia High Public 82
Independence High (alternative) Public 94 +95%
Come Back Charter Public 105 +384%

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

Is your school winning the families it should?

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