Aims College Prep High School
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Latitude 37.8 High → Oakland Charter High School → Arise High School → Mcclymonds High School → Life Academy High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+0.3%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~370 | +1 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~372 | +3 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~375 | +6 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Alameda County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Aims College Prep High School outperformed Alameda County on enrollment (school +5.8% vs. county +0.6%) AND maintains 93.9% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
24 of 393 students who enrolled at Aims College Prep High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (6.1% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 7.5 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Oakland Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 41.5%
Federal: 15.1%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Oakland Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+9.0 pp above peer median (21.1%) · Ranked #2 of 7 similar schools
18.5%
53.3%
30.1%
Higher than 73% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Aims College Prep High School's UC Reach of 30.1% is above the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
But in Alameda County, where the local median is 33.7% and the top-10% bar is 68.8%, this score is mid-pack rather than exceptional — typical of its market rather than a standout.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 73 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Aims College Prep High School's UC Reach is higher than 73% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Aims College Prep High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Oakland · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Aims College Prep High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 7): 30% vs. a peer median of 21%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 132 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Aims College Prep High School is admitting at roughly -7 percentage points below what its average applicant GPA (3.838) alone would predict (16% actual vs. 23% expected). That's worth understanding — it can reflect grade inflation that UC sees through, weaker holistic-review materials at the margin, or applicants concentrating at more selective campuses than typical. Not a verdict; a signal.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 6% (69→73 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -7%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.3%/yr); projects to ~372 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aims College Prep High School | Public | 369 | 30.1% | +6% |
| Peer-group median | 21.1% | -7% | ||
| Latitude 37.8 High | Public | 396 | — | +129% |
| Oakland Charter High School | Public | 330 | 55.8% | -12% |
| Arise High School | Public | 410 | 19.4% | +77% |
| Mcclymonds High School | Public | 301 | 5.4% | -11% |
| Life Academy High School | Public | 434 | 27.4% | -5% |
| Aspire Golden State College Preparatory Academy | Public | 404 | — | -19% |
| Nea Community Learning Center | Public | 442 | 16.0% | +7% |
| Aspire Lionel Wilson College Preparatory Academy | Public | 395 | — | +8% |
| Oakland Military Institute, College Preparatory Academy | Public | 501 | — | -52% |
| Oakland Unity High School | Public | 303 | 22.8% | -10% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.88 | 9.5% | 11.6% | -2.1pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.87 | 11.1% | 22.9% | -11.8pp | Under |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.81 | 15.4% | 26.7% | -11.3pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 3.79 | 26.0% | 32.0% | -6.0pp | Under |
Where Aims College Prep High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 7.2 points below what their GPAs predict (16.2% actual vs. 23.4% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 42 | 4 | — | 9.5% | 4.8% | — | 3.88 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 36 | 4 | — | 11.1% | 4.8% | — | 3.87 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 26 | 4 | — | 15.4% | 4.8% | — | 3.81 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | — |
| UC Davis → | 50 | 13 | 6 | 26.0% | 15.7% | 46.2% | 3.79 | 4.16 |