Aerostem Academy
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Most similar nearby schools
Albert Powell Continuation → Core Charter School → Yuba County Career Preparatory Charter → Yuba City Charter → South Lindhurst Continuation High → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+12.5%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~159 | +18 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~201 | +60 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~254 | +113 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sutter County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment -14.3% vs. county +9.6% AND stability (76.3%) below the county median. Recruitment and retention both under pressure — likely a foundational rather than tactical problem. Chronic absenteeism is also at 31.7% (up +25.0 pts from 2018-19) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
14 of 59 students who enrolled at Aerostem Academy this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (23.7% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 23.1 pp since 2018-19. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Sutter County Office of Education (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 24.5%
Federal: 17.6%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Sutter County Office of Education as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
Aerostem Academy — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Yuba City · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 14% (7→6 from 2022 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +0%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+12.5%/yr); projects to ~201 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerostem Academy | Public | 141 | — | -14% |
| Peer-group median | 5.3% | +0% | ||
| Albert Powell Continuation | Public | 139 | — | -3% |
| Core Charter School | Public | 206 | — | -12% |
| Yuba County Career Preparatory Charter | Public | 217 | — | -66% |
| Yuba City Charter | Public | 246 | — | -44% |
| South Lindhurst Continuation High | Public | 232 | — | +51% |
| Biggs High School | Public | 177 | — | -25% |
| Cache Creek High (continuation) | Public | 138 | — | +8% |
| Atlas Learning Academy | Public | 99 | — | +100% |
| Phoenix High (continuation) | Public | 95 | — | +21% |
| East Nicolaus High School | Public | 307 | 5.3% | +4% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Davis → | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |