Arcadia First Baptist Christian School
Private
K–12 / combined
Other religious
Santa Fe, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment went from 159 in 2018 to
142 in 2022
— over 4 years.
-10.7%
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.8%/year, projecting from 2022's 142 students:
2023
138
2025
130
2027
123
≈ 19 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 19 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $304,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SANTA FE H S SANTA FE |
Public | 1.0 | 1,314 | -2.3% |
| HITCHCOCK H S HITCHCOCK |
Public | 6.4 | 585 | +36.4% |
| Abundant Life Christian School Lamarque |
Private | 6.5 | 92 | +33.3% |
| DICKINSON CONTINUATION CENTER DICKINSON |
Public | 7.0 | 70 | +20.7% |
| Bay Area Christian School League City |
Private | 7.5 | 762 | -0.9% |
| RISE ALVIN |
Public | 7.7 | 116 | +20.8% |
| ALVIN H S ALVIN |
Public | 7.9 | 2,766 | -3.0% |
| CLEAR SPRINGS H S LEAGUE CITY |
Public | 7.9 | 2,668 | -3.9% |