SANTA FE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,314 students:
≈ 50 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,823 per student in district revenue, the 50 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $741,150/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcadia First Baptist Christian School Santa Fe |
Private | 1.0 | 142 | -10.7% |
| RISE ALVIN |
Public | 6.8 | 116 | +20.8% |
| ALVIN H S ALVIN |
Public | 6.9 | 2,766 | -3.0% |
| Bay Area Christian School League City |
Private | 7.0 | 762 | -0.9% |
| DICKINSON CONTINUATION CENTER DICKINSON |
Public | 7.3 | 70 | +20.7% |
| HITCHCOCK H S HITCHCOCK |
Public | 7.3 | 585 | +36.4% |
| CLEAR SPRINGS H S LEAGUE CITY |
Public | 7.4 | 2,668 | -3.9% |
| Abundant Life Christian School Lamarque |
Private | 7.4 | 92 | +33.3% |