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VICTORIA EAST H S

Public
VICTORIA, TX · VICTORIA ISD · 66.8% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 348 in 2021 to 442 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+27.0%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,861 students:

2025
1,861
2027
1,860
2029
1,859

≈ 2 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $11,744 per student in district revenue, the 2 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $23,488/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Faith Academy
Victoria
Private 1.3 238 -15.6%
Faith Academy
Victoria
Private 2.8 241 -10.7%
VICTORIA REGIONAL JUVENILE JUSTICE CENTER
VICTORIA
Public 3.1 25
St Joseph High School
Victoria
Private 3.2 292 -3.3%
VISD SUCCESS ACADEMY
VICTORIA
Public 3.7 214 -7.8%
SECONDARY DAEP
VICTORIA
Public 3.7 64
VICTORIA WEST H S
VICTORIA
Public 3.8 1,723 -0.6%
BLOOMINGTON H S
BLOOMINGTON
Public 14.1 227 +12.9%

Is VICTORIA EAST H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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