UNION HILL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 141 students:
≈ 28 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,121 per student in district revenue, the 28 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $479,388/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GILMER H S GILMER |
Public | 5.8 | 895 | +14.0% |
| HARMONY H S BIG SANDY |
Public | 8.5 | 273 | -6.2% |
| PITTSBURG H S PITTSBURG |
Public | 13.2 | 671 | -3.7% |
| ORE CITY H S ORE CITY |
Public | 15.0 | 220 | -10.9% |
| NEW DIANA H S DIANA |
Public | 15.1 | 330 | -5.2% |
| UNION GROVE H S GLADEWATER |
Public | 17.2 | 232 | +9.4% |
| BIG SANDY H S BIG SANDY |
Public | 17.3 | 191 | -4.0% |
| TRINITY CHARTER SCHOOLS - BIG SANDY CAMPUS BIG SANDY |
Public · charter | 17.8 | 17 | — |