HARMONY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 273 students:
≈ 28 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,255 per student in district revenue, the 28 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $371,140/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNION HILL H S GILMER |
Public | 8.5 | 86 | -6.5% |
| GILMER H S GILMER |
Public | 9.0 | 895 | +14.0% |
| BIG SANDY H S BIG SANDY |
Public | 11.5 | 191 | -4.0% |
| TRINITY CHARTER SCHOOLS - BIG SANDY CAMPUS BIG SANDY |
Public · charter | 13.0 | 17 | — |
| HAWKINS H S / MIDDLE HAWKINS |
Public | 13.2 | 251 | +16.7% |
| GLADEWATER H S GLADEWATER |
Public | 16.6 | 484 | +0.4% |
| UNION GROVE H S GLADEWATER |
Public | 16.8 | 232 | +9.4% |
| WINNSBORO H S WINNSBORO |
Public | 17.7 | 487 | +1.7% |