TRINITY CHARTER SCHOOLS - BIG SANDY CAMPUS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 18 students:
≈ 4 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $21,940 per student in district revenue, the 4 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $87,760/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIG SANDY H S BIG SANDY |
Public | 2.4 | 191 | -4.0% |
| GLADEWATER H S GLADEWATER |
Public | 6.7 | 484 | +0.4% |
| HAWKINS H S / MIDDLE HAWKINS |
Public | 7.8 | 251 | +16.7% |
| WINONA H S WINONA |
Public | 8.2 | 319 | +7.4% |
| UNION GROVE H S GLADEWATER |
Public | 8.9 | 232 | +9.4% |
| SABINE H S GLADEWATER |
Public | 11.1 | 456 | +0.2% |
| WHITE OAK H S WHITE OAK |
Public | 12.8 | 406 | -6.2% |
| HARMONY H S BIG SANDY |
Public | 13.0 | 273 | -6.2% |