THORNDALE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 209 students:
≈ 8 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,804 per student in district revenue, the 8 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $118,432/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THRALL H S THRALL |
Public | 5.7 | 282 | +16.0% |
| ROCKDALE H S ROCKDALE |
Public | 11.4 | 468 | +11.2% |
| ROCKDALE INSPIRE ACADEMY ROCKDALE |
Public · charter | 12.5 | 49 | — |
| LEGACY EARLY COLLEGE H S TAYLOR |
Public | 12.6 | 105 | -37.9% |
| TAYLOR H S TAYLOR |
Public | 14.3 | 871 | +1.8% |
| GRANGER SCHOOL GRANGER |
Public | 15.5 | 180 | +27.7% |
| BARTLETT SCHOOLS BARTLETT |
Public | 17.9 | 127 | +11.4% |
| BUCKHOLTS SCHOOL BUCKHOLTS |
Public | 18.1 | 34 | — |