BARTLETT SCHOOLS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 393 students:
≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,658 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $49,974/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRANGER SCHOOL GRANGER |
Public | 5.4 | 180 | +27.7% |
| HOLLAND H S HOLLAND |
Public | 5.8 | 183 | -12.9% |
| JARRELL H S JARRELL |
Public | 12.3 | 1,101 | +45.3% |
| SALADO H S SALADO |
Public | 13.6 | 769 | +13.8% |
| ACADEMY H S LITTLE RIVER |
Public | 14.2 | 546 | +10.3% |
| ROGERS H S ROGERS |
Public | 14.6 | 271 | -7.8% |
| Grace Academy Of Georgetown Georgetown |
Private | 15.3 | 325 | +51.2% |
| LEGACY EARLY COLLEGE H S TAYLOR |
Public | 15.6 | 105 | -37.9% |