BUCKHOLTS SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -7.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 112 students:
≈ 35 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,135 per student in district revenue, the 35 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $669,725/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolution Ranch Academy Cameron |
Private | 5.7 | 23 | — |
| ROGERS H S ROGERS |
Public | 7.4 | 271 | -7.8% |
| CAMERON YOE H S CAMERON |
Public | 9.2 | 479 | +2.4% |
| ACADEMY H S LITTLE RIVER |
Public | 15.3 | 546 | +10.3% |
| ROCKDALE INSPIRE ACADEMY ROCKDALE |
Public · charter | 15.4 | 49 | — |
| ROCKDALE H S ROCKDALE |
Public | 16.4 | 468 | +11.2% |
| HOLLAND H S HOLLAND |
Public | 16.9 | 183 | -12.9% |
| THORNDALE H S THORNDALE |
Public | 18.1 | 209 | -2.3% |