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ORANGE GROVE H S

Public
ORANGE GROVE, TX · ORANGE GROVE ISD · 60.3% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 124 in 2021 to 122 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-1.6%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -3.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 496 students:

2025
477
2027
442
2029
410

≈ 86 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,910 per student in district revenue, the 86 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,110,260/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
AGUA DULCE H S
AGUA DULCE
Public 11.5 144 +23.1%
MATHIS H S
MATHIS
Public 12.1 408 -5.1%
BANQUETE H S
BANQUETE
Public 13.4 247 -13.0%
ALICE H S
ALICE
Public 15.1 1,295 +0.0%
ROBSTOWN EARLY COLLEGE H S
ROBSTOWN
Public 19.1 750 +4.5%
CALALLEN H S
CORPUS CHRISTI
Public 19.6 1,147 -2.1%
ODEM H S
ODEM
Public 21.3 278 -1.8%
Grace Temple Christian Academy
Corpus Christi
Private 22.7 28

Is ORANGE GROVE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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