MISSION EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 410 students:
≈ 76 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,934 per student in district revenue, the 76 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $906,984/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPTIONS H S EL PASO |
Public | 1.9 | 136 | +88.9% |
| KEYS ACAD EL PASO |
Public | 1.9 | 45 | — |
| EASTLAKE H S EL PASO |
Public | 2.0 | 3,004 | +12.0% |
| DEL VALLE H S EL PASO |
Public | 2.0 | 1,798 | -11.3% |
| IDEA RIO VISTA COLLEGE PREPARATORY SOCORRO |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 243 | +153.1% |
| SOCORRO H S EL PASO |
Public | 2.1 | 2,579 | +4.0% |
| HARMONY SCIENCE ACAD (EL PASO) EL PASO |
Public · charter | 2.4 | 550 | +6.8% |
| Bethesda Christian Academy El Paso |
Private | 2.7 | 39 | — |