PETERSBURG SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 243 students:
≈ 46 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $40,168 per student in district revenue, the 46 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,847,728/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABERNATHY H S ABERNATHY |
Public | 14.2 | 237 | -7.1% |
| LORENZO ISD LORENZO |
Public | 14.4 | 75 | +7.1% |
| IDALOU H S IDALOU |
Public | 15.2 | 297 | +2.1% |
| FLOYDADA ISD DAEP FLOYDADA |
Public | 16.5 | 2 | — |
| NEW DEAL H S NEW DEAL |
Public | 16.7 | 228 | +0.9% |
| NEW DEAL DAEP NEW DEAL |
Public | 16.8 | 3 | — |
| FLOYDADA COLLEGIATE H S FLOYDADA |
Public · charter | 16.8 | 229 | +21.2% |
| RALLS H S RALLS |
Public | 18.4 | 113 | -21.5% |