LORENZO ISD
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 207 students:
≈ 42 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,773 per student in district revenue, the 42 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $788,466/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RALLS H S RALLS |
Public | 8.7 | 113 | -21.5% |
| RECOVERY EDUCATION CAMPUS RALLS |
Public | 8.7 | 2 | — |
| IDALOU H S IDALOU |
Public | 8.7 | 297 | +2.1% |
| ROOSEVELT H S LUBBOCK |
Public | 10.3 | 332 | -0.9% |
| PETERSBURG SCHOOL PETERSBURG |
Public | 14.4 | 82 | +6.5% |
| CROSBYTON CISD PRE K-12 CROSBYTON |
Public | 16.4 | 96 | -4.0% |
| ESTACADO H S LUBBOCK |
Public | 17.1 | 787 | -13.4% |
| TALKINGTON SCHOOL FOR YOUNG WOMEN LEADERS LUBBOCK |
Public | 17.4 | 210 | +5.5% |