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ROBERT TURNER COLLEGE AND CAREER H S

Public
PEARLAND, TX · PEARLAND ISD · 34.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 289 in 2021 to 258 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-10.7%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,128 students:

2025
1,119
2027
1,101
2029
1,083

≈ 45 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $11,892 per student in district revenue, the 45 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $535,140/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
PEARLAND H S
PEARLAND
Public 1.4 3,412 +4.8%
Eagle Heights Christian Academy
Pearland
Private 2.2 108 -30.3%
PACE CENTER
PEARLAND
Public 2.3 96 +2.1%
GLENDA DAWSON H S
PEARLAND
Public 4.6 2,569 +2.1%
DOBIE H S
HOUSTON
Public 4.8 3,692 -4.7%
FRIENDSWOOD H S
FRIENDSWOOD
Public 5.3 2,014 +1.6%
ADAPT
MANVEL
Public 5.4 74 -5.1%
MANVEL H S
MANVEL
Public 6.0 2,238 -23.9%

Is ROBERT TURNER COLLEGE AND CAREER H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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