DOBIE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 3,692 students:
≈ 283 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,267 per student in district revenue, the 283 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,754,561/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILTEXAS HOUSTON WINDMILL LAKES OREM H S HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.4 | 837 | +70.8% |
| PACE CENTER PEARLAND |
Public | 2.6 | 96 | +2.1% |
| Eagle Heights Christian Academy Pearland |
Private | 2.8 | 108 | -30.3% |
| CLEAR HORIZONS EARLY COLLEGE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 2.9 | 459 | +10.3% |
| BETA ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.0 | 219 | +85.6% |
| Genesis Christian School Houston |
Private | 3.4 | 201 | +18.9% |
| PREMIER H S - HOUSTON - HOBBY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.6 | 97 | — |
| TEXASWORKS - HOUSTON-HOBBY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.6 | 5 | — |