OLNEY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 183 students:
≈ 28 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,822 per student in district revenue, the 28 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $499,016/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEWCASTLE SCHOOL NEWCASTLE |
Public | 12.4 | 78 | +44.4% |
| ARCHER CITY H S ARCHER CITY |
Public | 17.1 | 140 | -13.0% |
| GRAHAM H S GRAHAM |
Public | 21.4 | 694 | +4.4% |
| GRAHAM LEARNING CTR GRAHAM |
Public | 21.4 | 2 | — |
| WINDTHORST H S WINDTHORST |
Public | 23.4 | 142 | +5.2% |
| BRYSON SCHOOL BRYSON |
Public | 26.0 | 71 | -12.3% |
| THROCKMORTON COLLEGIATE ISD THROCKMORTON |
Public · charter | 27.3 | 36 | — |
| WOODSON SCHOOL WOODSON |
Public | 29.3 | 73 | +28.1% |