GRAHAM LEARNING CTR
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -34.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 2 students:
≈ 2 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,587 per student in district revenue, the 2 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $27,174/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRAHAM H S GRAHAM |
Public | 0.0 | 694 | +4.4% |
| NEWCASTLE SCHOOL NEWCASTLE |
Public | 11.0 | 78 | +44.4% |
| BRYSON SCHOOL BRYSON |
Public | 12.4 | 71 | -12.3% |
| OLNEY H S OLNEY |
Public | 21.4 | 183 | -9.4% |
| GRAFORD SCHOOL GRAFORD |
Public | 21.9 | 90 | -10.0% |
| JACKSBORO H S JACKSBORO |
Public | 25.5 | 321 | +0.6% |
| WOODSON SCHOOL WOODSON |
Public | 27.8 | 73 | +28.1% |
| BRECKENRIDGE H S BRECKENRIDGE |
Public | 30.0 | 379 | -9.1% |