THROCKMORTON COLLEGIATE ISD
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 144 students:
≈ 19 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $23,500 per student in district revenue, the 19 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $446,500/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WOODSON SCHOOL WOODSON |
Public | 13.5 | 73 | +28.1% |
| NEWCASTLE SCHOOL NEWCASTLE |
Public | 25.6 | 78 | +44.4% |
| OLNEY H S OLNEY |
Public | 27.3 | 183 | -9.4% |
| SEYMOUR H S SEYMOUR |
Public | 28.5 | 157 | -4.3% |
| PAINT CREEK SCHOOL HASKELL |
Public | 29.8 | 32 | — |
| MUNDAY SECONDARY MUNDAY |
Public | 32.0 | 126 | +72.6% |
| HASKELL H S HASKELL |
Public | 32.0 | 156 | +6.8% |
| ALBANY JR-SR H S ALBANY |
Public | 32.3 | 147 | -7.0% |