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ESTACADO H S

Public
LUBBOCK, TX · LUBBOCK ISD · 90.0% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 206 in 2021 to 224 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+8.7%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -4.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 787 students:

2025
750
2027
681
2029
619

≈ 168 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,330 per student in district revenue, the 168 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,239,440/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
TALKINGTON SCHOOL FOR YOUNG WOMEN LEADERS
LUBBOCK
Public 0.4 210 +5.5%
PRIORITY INTERVENTION ACADEMY
LUBBOCK
Public 2.4 52 -45.3%
HOMEBOUND
LUBBOCK
Public 2.9 6
LUBBOCK H S
LUBBOCK
Public 3.1 1,927 +2.9%
DUPRE ACADEMY H S
LUBBOCK
Public 3.2 140 +47.4%
TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY K-12
LUBBOCK
Public 3.6 425 -0.7%
TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-LUBBOCK
LUBBOCK
Public · charter 4.1 133 -25.3%
Springboard Academics
Lubbock
Private 4.7 110 +25.0%

Is ESTACADO H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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