LEXINGTON H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 336 students:
≈ 13 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,471 per student in district revenue, the 13 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $175,123/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIME BOX SCHOOL DIME BOX |
Public | 11.3 | 50 | — |
| GIDDINGS H S GIDDINGS |
Public | 15.3 | 648 | +0.8% |
| ROCKDALE H S ROCKDALE |
Public | 16.4 | 468 | +11.2% |
| MCDADE H S MCDADE |
Public | 16.7 | 111 | +54.2% |
| ROCKDALE INSPIRE ACADEMY ROCKDALE |
Public · charter | 17.9 | 49 | — |
| LONE STAR H S SOUTHEAST (TJJD) GIDDINGS |
Public | 18.0 | 127 | +12.4% |
| THORNDALE H S THORNDALE |
Public | 18.4 | 209 | -2.3% |
| THRALL H S THRALL |
Public | 21.1 | 282 | +16.0% |