DIME BOX SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 156 students:
≈ 34 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,388 per student in district revenue, the 34 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $591,192/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEXINGTON H S LEXINGTON |
Public | 11.3 | 336 | -2.3% |
| GIDDINGS H S GIDDINGS |
Public | 12.4 | 648 | +0.8% |
| LONE STAR H S SOUTHEAST (TJJD) GIDDINGS |
Public | 13.6 | 127 | +12.4% |
| CALDWELL H S CALDWELL |
Public | 16.0 | 574 | -0.2% |
| ROUND TOP-CARMINE H S CARMINE |
Public | 17.1 | 71 | +12.7% |
| SOMERVILLE H S SOMERVILLE |
Public | 17.4 | 168 | +14.3% |
| BURTON H S BURTON |
Public | 18.1 | 152 | +5.6% |
| Faith Lutheran High School Of Central Texas Warda |
Private | 21.5 | 17 | — |