PATHWAYS ACADEMIC CAMPUS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -7.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 282 students:
≈ 90 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,660 per student in district revenue, the 90 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,139,400/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memorial Christian Academy Killeen |
Private | 2.0 | 180 | +5.9% |
| C E ELLISON H S KILLEEN |
Public | 2.2 | 1,761 | -33.7% |
| CHAPARRAL H S KILLEEN |
Public | 2.6 | 2,031 | +18.7% |
| GATEWAY H S KILLEEN |
Public | 4.3 | 84 | -37.8% |
| ROBERT M SHOEMAKER H S KILLEEN |
Public | 4.3 | 2,165 | -4.2% |
| ADVENTHEALTH SCHOOL KILLEEN |
Public | 5.1 | 1 | — |
| RICHARD MILBURN ALTER H S (KILLEEN) KILLEEN |
Public · charter | 5.1 | 136 | -6.8% |
| KILLEEN H S KILLEEN |
Public | 5.2 | 2,083 | -4.8% |